Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +0.15
- -0.95 before the first game, -0.80 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.56
- Jan 27 vs BKN · 30 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.98
- Oct 24 vs LAC · 14 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.15
- Last 20 games, vs 0.20 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-0.8 at age 24 in 2025-26 ranks 561st of 1,185 age-24 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Anthony Randolph, 2012-13.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Randolph 2012-13 | 23 | -1.1 | -0.5, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| Jonas Valanciunas 2015-16 | 24 | -0.3 | -0.5, -0.1, -0.5, +0.5, +2.1 | 88 |
| Chris Wilcox 2005-06 | 23 | -1.0 | -1.0, -1.1, -2.4, -2.6, -0.5 | 88 |
| Nikola Vucevic 2014-15 | 24 | -0.7 | +0.3, +0.6, +0.8, +2.5, +1.8 | 87 |
| Brandon Bass 2008-09 | 24 | -0.8 | -1.0, -1.0, -0.5, -1.5, -2.1 | 86 |
| Brandan Wright 2011-12 | 24 | -0.8 | +0.9, +0.5, -0.3, 0.0, -0.6 | 86 |
| Willy Hernangomez 2018-19 | 24 | -0.5 | -0.7, +0.1, +0.2, -0.5, under 10 games | 86 |
| Al Harrington 2003-04 | 24 | -1.1 | -1.4, -0.5, 0.0, +0.7, +0.9 | 86 |
| Greg Monroe 2013-14 | 23 | -0.6 | +0.2, +0.6, +1.2, -1.8, -2.5 | 85 |
| Justin Williams 2007-08 | 23 | -1.2 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Mark's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Mark Williams's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $7.8M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $6.3M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$1.5M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 1.2
- Projected
- Retires at
- 25.8
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | PHX | 24 | 60 | 23.6 | -0.80 | -0.22 | -0.58 | 561st of 1185 |
| 2024-25 | CHA | 23 | 44 | 26.6 | -1.20 | -0.80 | -0.40 | 586th of 1100 |
| 2023-24 | CHA | 22 | 19 | 26.8 | -0.72 | +0.26 | -0.98 | — |
| 2022-23 | CHA | 21 | 43 | 19.3 | -1.02 | -0.76 | -0.26 | 244th of 571 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 17.2 projected minutes and a pace of 93.9.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 23.2 | 7.8 |
| Rebounds | 16.0 | 5.4 |
| Offensive | 5.5 | 1.8 |
| Defensive | 10.5 | 3.5 |
| Assists | 2.2 | 0.7 |
| Steals | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| Blocks | 2.4 | 0.8 |
| Turnovers | 2.5 | 0.9 |
| 3-pt attempts | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| FG attempts | 16.3 | 5.5 |
| FT attempts | 5.8 | 2.0 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 59.7% · 23.7% · 74.9% | |
