Player

John Collins

Detroit Pistons · F-C

Age 29 · 6'9" · 235 lb · USA

Pick #19, 2017 Draft · Rookie 2018 · 549 games · 29 playoff games

DPM · #211 of 524

-0.2
Offense -0.6 Defense +0.4 Market -0.8 · playoffs -1.5 Last played Nov 4, 2026
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Talent Percentiles

Ratings

Skills

Shooting

Historical comps

Comps & futures

The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.

CompAgeDPM thenNext 5 seasonsMatch
Austin Croshere 2003-0429+0.1 -1.1, -0.3, -2.1, -1.6, -2.6 92
Markieff Morris 2017-1828+0.3 -1.0, -1.5, -1.9, -2.2, -2.3 90
Darrell Arthur 2016-1729-0.2 -0.5, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games 90
Dorell Wright 2014-1529+0.1 under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games 89
Daniel Theis 2020-2129+0.1 -0.6, under 10 games, -1.7, -1.2, under 10 games 89
Dewayne Dedmon 2018-1929+0.4 0.0, +0.9, -0.6, -2.9, under 10 games 88
Joe Smith 2004-05290.0 0.0, -0.4, -0.6, -1.4, -3.0 87
Brandan Wright 2016-1729-0.3 +0.5, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games 87
Vladimir Radmanovic 2009-1029-0.8 +1.3, +0.8, -0.4, under 10 games, under 10 games 86
Mike Dunleavy 2009-1029+0.3 +1.1, +1.3, +0.8, +1.1, +0.6 86

The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to John's 2026-27 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.

Around the league

Top 10 comps today

Current players closest to John Collins's current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.

  1. 1 John Collins DET Self
    -0.2DPMDPM Offense -0.6 Defense +0.4 Per 100 possessions:21.6points11.2rebounds1.7assistsP/R/A
    100.0
  2. 2 Thomas Bryant CLE ↗
    -0.3DPMDPM Offense -0.3 Defense 0.0 Per 100 possessions:26.0points12.7rebounds2.3assistsP/R/A
    89.0
  3. 3 Micah Potter POR ↗
    -0.3DPMDPM Offense -0.1 Defense -0.2 Per 100 possessions:22.2points11.7rebounds2.9assistsP/R/A
    87.4
  4. 4 Branden Carlson POR ↗
    +0.1DPMDPM Offense -0.5 Defense +0.5 Per 100 possessions:21.0points12.2rebounds2.8assistsP/R/A
    87.3
  5. 5 Jock Landale ATL ↗
    -0.6DPMDPM Offense -0.7 Defense +0.1 Per 100 possessions:21.8points13.0rebounds4.7assistsP/R/A
    87.2
  6. 6 Precious Achiuwa SAC ↗
    -0.3DPMDPM Offense -0.1 Defense -0.2 Per 100 possessions:20.9points13.1rebounds3.0assistsP/R/A
    86.7
  7. 7 Keegan Murray SAC ↗
    0.0DPMDPM Offense -0.2 Defense +0.2 Per 100 possessions:18.9points7.9rebounds2.5assistsP/R/A
    86.4
  8. 8 Nae'Qwan Tomlin CLE ↗
    -0.4DPMDPM Offense -0.4 Defense 0.0 Per 100 possessions:18.7points9.5rebounds2.9assistsP/R/A
    86.3
  9. 9 Keldon Johnson SAS ↗
    -0.3DPMDPM Offense +0.1 Defense -0.4 Per 100 possessions:22.7points10.4rebounds3.3assistsP/R/A
    85.3
  10. 10 Keshad Johnson MIA ↗
    +0.2DPMDPM Offense -0.1 Defense +0.3 Per 100 possessions:20.1points10.2rebounds2.7assistsP/R/A
    85.2
How these matches work

Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.

100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.

Value

Contract & longevity

DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against John Collins's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.

Fair value
$14.9M
DARKO's market estimate
Salary
$17.0M
Actual
Surplus
-$2.1M
Value minus salary
WARP
2.9
Wins above replacement
Seasons left
3.5
Projected, within 15
Retires at
33.1
Projected age

Career

Season by season

DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.

John Collins, season by season
SeasonTeamAgeGamesMPGDPMOffDefFor his age
2026-27 so farDET29825.6-0.11-0.58+0.47—
2025-26LAC286927.1+0.25-0.21+0.46334th of 858
2024-25UTA274030.5+0.16+0.45-0.30357th of 924
2023-24UTA266828.0-0.72-0.02-0.71585th of 1010
2022-23ATL2571 +630.0+0.32+0.06+0.26312th of 1077
2021-22ATL2454 +530.8+0.53+0.48+0.05251st of 1185
2020-21ATL2363 +1829.3+1.23+1.01+0.21136th of 1100
2019-20ATL224133.2-0.63+0.12-0.75329th of 813
2018-19ATL216130.0-0.07+0.84-0.91124th of 571
2017-18ATL207424.1-0.38-0.99+0.6171st of 354

Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.

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Projections

Projected box score

DARKO's rest-of-season projections per 100 possessions, and per game at 24.6 projected minutes when he plays and a pace of 97.0.

John Collins, projected box score
StatPer 100Per game
Points21.610.7
Rebounds11.25.5
Offensive3.41.7
Defensive7.73.8
Assists1.70.9
Steals1.40.7
Blocks1.40.7
Turnovers2.41.2
3-pt attempts5.72.8
FG attempts16.78.3
FT attempts4.22.1
FG% · 3P% · FT%52.1% · 36.6% · 77.7%