Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +0.04
- +3.05 before the first game, +3.09 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.23
- Feb 22 vs OKC · 29 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.34
- Feb 20 vs CHA · 32 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.08
- Last 20 games, vs 0.08 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+3.1 at age 28 in 2025-26 ranks 58th of 858 age-28 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Gerald Wallace, 2009-10.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerald Wallace 2009-10 | 27 | +2.6 | +3.2, +2.1, +2.4, +0.9, +0.9 | 88 |
| Chris Bosh 2011-12 | 28 | +2.7 | +2.9, +2.3, +1.5, +1.7, under 10 games | 88 |
| Lamar Odom 2007-08 | 28 | +3.3 | +5.0, +4.3, +3.7, -1.9, +0.4 | 87 |
| Paul Millsap 2012-13 | 28 | +2.9 | +3.5, +3.9, +3.6, +2.9, +1.7 | 87 |
| Dwight Howard 2013-14 | 28 | +2.9 | +3.0, +2.1, +1.1, +1.0, under 10 games | 86 |
| Chris Webber 2000-01 | 28 | +3.5 | +3.8, +3.7, +2.4, 0.0, 0.0 | 84 |
| Brad Miller 2003-04 | 28 | +3.7 | +3.4, +3.4, +2.4, +3.2, +1.6 | 84 |
| Al Horford 2013-14 | 27 | +2.3 | +2.0, +1.9, +1.3, +2.0, +1.9 | 83 |
| Anderson Varejao 2009-10 | 27 | +2.9 | +1.9, +2.6, +2.2, +2.4, +1.7 | 83 |
| Josh Smith 2012-13 | 27 | +2.9 | +0.3, +1.6, -0.9, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Jarrett's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Historical comps
Echoes today
Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Jarrett Allen's seasons, at the same age.
- Rocco Zikarsky MIN like his 2017-18 87
- Dereck Lively II DAL like his 2019-20 84
- Donovan Clingan POR like his 2019-20 83
- Joan Beringer MIN like his 2017-18 83
- Khaman Maluach PHX like his 2017-18 80
Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Jarrett Allen's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $44.7M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $20.0M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$24.7M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 6.2
- Projected
- Retires at
- 34.5
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | CLE | 28 | 56 +18 | 27.1 | +3.09 | +1.14 | +1.95 | 58th of 858 |
| 2024-25 | CLE | 27 | 82 +9 | 28.0 | +2.57 | +0.55 | +2.01 | 86th of 924 |
| 2023-24 | CLE | 26 | 77 +4 | 31.7 | +1.80 | +0.16 | +1.64 | 128th of 1010 |
| 2022-23 | CLE | 25 | 68 +5 | 32.6 | +2.17 | +0.21 | +1.96 | 101st of 1078 |
| 2021-22 | CLE | 23 | 56 | 32.3 | +1.55 | +0.18 | +1.36 | 105th of 1100 |
| 2020-21 | CLE | 23 | 63 | 29.6 | -0.47 | -0.92 | +0.45 | 400th of 1100 |
| 2019-20 | BKN | 22 | 70 +4 | 26.5 | +0.79 | -0.50 | +1.30 | 108th of 813 |
| 2018-19 | BKN | 21 | 80 +5 | 26.2 | +0.24 | -0.55 | +0.79 | 93rd of 571 |
| 2017-18 | BKN | 19 | 72 | 20.0 | -0.66 | -1.11 | +0.45 | 27th of 109 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 19.9 projected minutes and a pace of 94.8.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 21.7 | 8.5 |
| Rebounds | 14.5 | 5.7 |
| Offensive | 5.2 | 2.0 |
| Defensive | 9.4 | 3.7 |
| Assists | 2.3 | 0.9 |
| Steals | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| Blocks | 2.2 | 0.9 |
| Turnovers | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| 3-pt attempts | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| FG attempts | 15.3 | 6.0 |
| FT attempts | 7.9 | 3.1 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 63.0% · 25.6% · 65.0% | |
