Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Miller 2004-05 | 29 | +3.2 | +3.1, +2.3, +3.0, +1.7, +1.1 | 89 |
| Chris Bosh 2011-12 | 28 | +2.9 | +2.7, +2.5, +2.2, +1.8, under 10 games | 88 |
| Paul Millsap 2012-13 | 28 | +3.1 | +3.3, +4.0, +3.6, +3.2, +2.0 | 88 |
| Gerald Wallace 2010-11 | 28 | +3.1 | +2.4, +2.4, +0.5, +0.5, under 10 games | 85 |
| DeAndre Jordan 2016-17 | 28 | +3.0 | +2.2, -0.2, +0.1, -1.1, -2.3 | 85 |
| Lamar Odom 2007-08 | 28 | +2.9 | +4.8, +4.2, +3.5, -0.6, +0.7 | 85 |
| Jerome Williams 2000-01 | 28 | +2.5 | +2.4, +2.1, +0.2, +1.2, under 10 games | 84 |
| Pau Gasol 2008-09 | 28 | +3.0 | +3.2, +2.8, +2.6, +2.0, +0.9 | 84 |
| Dwight Howard 2013-14 | 28 | +2.4 | +3.1, +2.1, +1.1, +1.2, under 10 games | 84 |
| Anderson Varejao 2010-11 | 28 | +2.5 | +2.9, +2.4, +2.5, +1.9, -1.0 | 83 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Jarrett's 2026-27 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Around the league
Top 10 comps today
Current players closest to Jarrett Allen's current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.
- +3.0DPMDPM Offense +1.0 Defense +2.0 Per 100 possessions:23.9points14.8rebounds2.7assistsP/R/A100.0
- +2.3DPMDPM Offense +0.1 Defense +2.2 Per 100 possessions:22.1points15.8rebounds3.1assistsP/R/A87.1
- +2.4DPMDPM Offense -0.1 Defense +2.5 Per 100 possessions:18.1points14.3rebounds3.6assistsP/R/A82.3
- +3.4DPMDPM Offense +1.1 Defense +2.3 Per 100 possessions:25.8points14.3rebounds2.9assistsP/R/A81.7
- +3.0DPMDPM Offense +1.9 Defense +1.1 Per 100 possessions:28.5points13.7rebounds5.5assistsP/R/A79.5
- +2.1DPMDPM Offense +0.2 Defense +1.8 Per 100 possessions:18.5points19.0rebounds3.3assistsP/R/A78.9
- +2.1DPMDPM Offense +0.7 Defense +1.3 Per 100 possessions:20.6points18.8rebounds2.8assistsP/R/A77.8
- +2.4DPMDPM Offense +1.4 Defense +1.0 Per 100 possessions:27.2points12.6rebounds5.4assistsP/R/A77.2
- +1.8DPMDPM Offense +0.1 Defense +1.7 Per 100 possessions:26.2points15.2rebounds4.8assistsP/R/A76.9
- +3.0DPMDPM Offense +1.6 Defense +1.4 Per 100 possessions:26.2points8.0rebounds3.3assistsP/R/A76.5
How these matches work
Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.
100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Jarrett Allen's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $42.8M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $28.0M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$14.8M
- Value minus salary
- WARP
- 9.2
- Wins above replacement
- Seasons left
- 7.5
- Projected, within 15
- Retires at
- 36.5
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 so far | CLE | 28 | 7 | 27.9 | +3.04 | +1.02 | +2.03 | — |
| 2025-26 | CLE | 28 | 56 +18 | 27.1 | +3.01 | +0.94 | +2.06 | 65th of 858 |
| 2024-25 | CLE | 27 | 82 +9 | 28.0 | +2.90 | +0.67 | +2.23 | 80th of 924 |
| 2023-24 | CLE | 26 | 77 +4 | 31.7 | +2.16 | +0.57 | +1.60 | 109th of 1010 |
| 2022-23 | CLE | 25 | 68 +5 | 32.6 | +2.12 | +0.20 | +1.92 | 106th of 1077 |
| 2021-22 | CLE | 23 | 56 | 32.3 | +1.68 | +0.39 | +1.29 | 89th of 1100 |
| 2020-21 | CLE | 23 | 63 | 29.6 | -0.08 | -0.77 | +0.70 | 323rd of 1100 |
| 2019-20 | BKN | 22 | 70 +4 | 26.5 | +0.56 | -0.44 | +1.00 | 131st of 813 |
| 2018-19 | BKN | 21 | 80 +5 | 26.2 | +0.08 | -0.60 | +0.68 | 108th of 571 |
| 2017-18 | BKN | 19 | 72 | 20.0 | -0.92 | -1.34 | +0.41 | 35th of 109 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's rest-of-season projections per 100 possessions, and per game at 28.7 projected minutes when he plays and a pace of 98.9.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 23.9 | 14.2 |
| Rebounds | 14.8 | 8.7 |
| Offensive | 4.9 | 2.9 |
| Defensive | 9.8 | 5.8 |
| Assists | 2.7 | 1.6 |
| Steals | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| Blocks | 2.1 | 1.2 |
| Turnovers | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 3-pt attempts | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| FG attempts | 14.7 | 8.7 |
| FT attempts | 7.4 | 4.4 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 64.9% · 24.3% · 68.2% | |









