Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +2.53
- -3.09 before the first game, -0.56 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.80
- Oct 24 vs ORL · 4 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.60
- Dec 19 vs SAS · 20 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.15
- Last 20 games, vs 0.28 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-0.6 at age 20 in 2025-26 ranks 84th of 354 age-20 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Al-Farouq Aminu, 2010-11.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Farouq Aminu 2010-11 | 20 | -0.8 | +0.2, +1.4, +0.1, +2.3, +1.2 | 91 |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. 2020-21 | 20 | -0.8 | -1.2, -2.0, -1.2, -2.6, under 10 games | 91 |
| Miles Bridges 2018-19 | 21 | -0.5 | -1.6, +0.2, +1.1, under 10 games, -0.8 | 91 |
| Maurice Harkless 2012-13 | 19 | -0.7 | 0.0, +0.2, +0.9, +0.9, +1.5 | 90 |
| Jarrett Culver 2019-20 | 21 | -0.7 | -1.7, -2.5, -2.7, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| Tobias Harris 2012-13 | 20 | -0.8 | -0.9, -0.8, +0.3, -0.2, -0.4 | 89 |
| John Collins 2017-18 | 20 | -0.7 | -0.1, -0.4, +1.3, +0.4, +0.6 | 89 |
| Eddie Griffin 2002-03 | 20 | -0.6 | under 10 games, -0.4, -1.7, -2.9, under 10 games | 88 |
| Chris Bosh 2003-04 | 20 | -0.4 | +0.1, +1.8, +2.9, +4.4, +2.9 | 88 |
| Derrick Jones Jr. 2017-18 | 21 | -1.1 | +0.4, +0.7, -0.4, +0.8, +1.6 | 88 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Asa's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Asa Newell's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $2.8M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $3.2M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$0.4M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 6.3
- Projected
- Retires at
- 26.8
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | ATL | 20 | 44 +2 | 11.4 | -0.56 | -0.79 | +0.23 | 84th of 354 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 6.2 projected minutes and a pace of 94.9.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 19.7 | 2.4 |
| Rebounds | 9.9 | 1.2 |
| Offensive | 4.3 | 0.5 |
| Defensive | 5.6 | 0.7 |
| Assists | 2.4 | 0.3 |
| Steals | 1.4 | 0.2 |
| Blocks | 1.6 | 0.2 |
| Turnovers | 2.8 | 0.3 |
| 3-pt attempts | 6.0 | 0.7 |
| FG attempts | 15.9 | 1.9 |
| FT attempts | 4.7 | 0.6 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 49.7% · 32.1% · 61.9% | |
