Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +0.55
- -1.55 before the first game, -1.00 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.43
- Mar 13 vs HOU · 22 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.51
- Dec 23 vs CLE · 10 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.16
- Last 20 games, vs 0.10 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-1.0 at age 25 in 2025-26 ranks 625th of 1,078 age-25 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Jordan Bell, 2019-20.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Bell 2019-20 | 25 | -1.1 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| Josh Harrellson 2013-14 | 25 | -1.5 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| Omri Casspi 2012-13 | 24 | -1.1 | -0.3, -1.1, +0.1, -0.9, -1.7 | 88 |
| James Michael McAdoo 2016-17 | 24 | -0.6 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Quincy Acy 2014-15 | 24 | -0.8 | -0.7, -1.0, -0.7, -0.4, under 10 games | 87 |
| Justin Hamilton 2014-15 | 25 | -0.3 | under 10 games, -1.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Travis Knight 1998-99 | 24 | -1.0 | -1.8, -3.2, -3.7, -2.6, under 10 games | 86 |
| Spencer Hawes 2012-13 | 24 | -1.1 | -1.8, -3.1, -1.0, -2.6, under 10 games | 86 |
| Donyell Marshall 1997-98 | 24 | -1.6 | -0.8, -1.6, +1.6, -1.3, -1.3 | 86 |
| James Singleton 2006-07 | 25 | -0.8 | under 10 games, +0.3, -2.3, under 10 games, -1.8 | 85 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Karlo's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Karlo Matkovic's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $6.3M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $2.0M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$4.3M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.0
- Projected
- Retires at
- 25.3
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | NOP | 25 | 62 | 14.7 | -1.00 | -1.37 | +0.38 | 625th of 1078 |
| 2024-25 | NOP | 24 | 42 | 18.8 | -1.74 | -1.63 | -0.12 | 868th of 1185 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 21.9 projected minutes and a pace of 95.1.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 19.4 | 8.4 |
| Rebounds | 12.4 | 5.4 |
| Offensive | 3.9 | 1.7 |
| Defensive | 8.5 | 3.7 |
| Assists | 2.3 | 1.0 |
| Steals | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| Blocks | 3.2 | 1.4 |
| Turnovers | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| 3-pt attempts | 6.2 | 2.7 |
| FG attempts | 14.5 | 6.3 |
| FT attempts | 3.2 | 1.4 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 51.4% · 33.5% · 74.0% | |
