Jabari Smith Jr. Profile

Historical comps

Comps & futures

The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.

Comp	Age	DPM then	Next 5 seasons	Match
Martell Webster 2009-10	23	+0.5	-1.3, -0.5, +0.4, -0.2, -1.4	90
Thomas Bryant 2019-20	23	+0.6	+0.4, -0.8, -1.2, 0.0, -0.9	89
Maurice Harkless 2015-16	23	+0.7	+0.7, +1.0, +1.9, +0.3, -0.2	89
Ryan Anderson 2010-11	22	+1.2	+2.0, +1.7, +2.0, +0.5, +2.0	88
Vladimir Radmanovic 2003-04	23	+0.8	+1.6, +0.9, -1.3, +0.9, +0.7	88
Jumaine Jones 2002-03	24	0.0	-1.4, +0.2, -0.9, -2.2, under 10 games	87
Furkan Korkmaz 2020-21	23	+0.6	-0.8, -1.3, -0.7, under 10 games, under 10 games	87
Jeremy Lamb 2015-16	23	+0.4	-0.1, +0.3, +0.6, +0.1, +0.3	87
Ersan Ilyasova 2010-11	23	+0.6	+0.7, +1.1, -0.1, +1.1, -1.3	87
Henry Walker 2010-11	23	+0.1	-0.5, under 10 games, under 10 games, -0.7, under 10 games	86

The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Jabari's 2026-27 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.

Around the league

Top 10 comps today

Current players closest to Jabari Smith Jr.'s current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.

1 Jabari Smith Jr. HOU Self

+0.7DPMDPM Offense +0.6 Defense +0.2 Per 100 possessions:24.0points9.6rebounds2.5assistsP/R/A
100.0
2 DaRon Holmes II DEN ↗

+0.2DPMDPM Offense -0.1 Defense +0.3 Per 100 possessions:23.0points10.1rebounds3.1assistsP/R/A
90.1
3 Olivier-Maxence Prosper MEM ↗

+0.3DPMDPM Offense +0.5 Defense -0.2 Per 100 possessions:23.3points8.4rebounds2.8assistsP/R/A
89.6
4 Moses Moody GSW ↗

+1.0DPMDPM Offense +0.7 Defense +0.3 Per 100 possessions:22.5points6.0rebounds3.1assistsP/R/A
89.0
5 Justin Champagnie WAS ↗

+0.7DPMDPM Offense +0.7 Defense 0.0 Per 100 possessions:21.6points12.3rebounds2.7assistsP/R/A
87.9
6 Brandin Podziemski GSW ↗

+0.8DPMDPM Offense +0.6 Defense +0.3 Per 100 possessions:26.2points8.4rebounds5.6assistsP/R/A
87.5
7 Christian Braun DEN ↗

+0.5DPMDPM Offense +0.5 Defense 0.0 Per 100 possessions:18.0points7.2rebounds3.3assistsP/R/A
87.2
8 Tristan Vukcevic WAS ↗

+0.3DPMDPM Offense +0.2 Defense +0.1 Per 100 possessions:29.3points10.2rebounds3.8assistsP/R/A
86.7
9 Gui Santos GSW ↗

+0.9DPMDPM Offense +0.5 Defense +0.5 Per 100 possessions:21.8points9.1rebounds5.0assistsP/R/A
86.4
10 Keshad Johnson MIA ↗

+0.2DPMDPM Offense -0.2 Defense +0.3 Per 100 possessions:20.3points10.0rebounds2.7assistsP/R/A
86.2

How these matches work

Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.

100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.

Value

Contract & longevity

DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Jabari Smith Jr.'s salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.

Fair value: $26.8M; DARKO's market estimate
Salary: $22.2M; Actual
Surplus: +$4.7M; Value minus salary
WARP: 6.2; Wins above replacement
Seasons left: 9.4; Projected, within 15
Retires at: 32.9; Projected age

Career

Season by season

DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.

Jabari Smith Jr., season by season
Season	Team	Age	Games	MPG	DPM	Off	Def	For his age
2026-27 so far	HOU	23	1	36.5	+0.54	+0.33	+0.21	—
2025-26	HOU	22	77 +6	35.1	+0.57	+0.31	+0.26	133rd of 813
2024-25	HOU	21	57 +7	30.1	-0.42	-0.51	+0.09	162nd of 571
2023-24	HOU	20	76	31.9	-1.31	-0.64	-0.66	161st of 354
2022-23	HOU	19	79	31.0	-2.45	-1.42	-1.03	78th of 109

Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.

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Projections

Projected box score

DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 34.4 projected minutes and a pace of 97.1.

Jabari Smith Jr., projected box score
Stat	Per 100	Per game
Points	24.0	16.7
Rebounds	9.6	6.7
Offensive	2.2	1.6
Defensive	7.3	5.1
Assists	2.5	1.7
Steals	1.1	0.8
Blocks	1.2	0.8
Turnovers	1.8	1.2
3-pt attempts	9.8	6.8
FG attempts	18.4	12.8
FT attempts	4.2	2.9
FG% · 3P% · FT%	44.3% · 35.8% · 79.3%