Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +2.05
- -1.77 before the first game, +0.28 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.79
- Jan 10 vs IND · 6 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.56
- Dec 6 vs SAC · 14 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.24
- Last 16 games, vs 0.32 in the first 16. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+0.3 at age 24 in 2025-26 ranks 276th of 1,185 age-24 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: John Konchar, 2020-21.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Konchar 2020-21 | 25 | +0.5 | +0.2, -0.2, +0.4, +0.1, -0.2 | 89 |
| Donte Greene 2011-12 | 24 | +0.3 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| Bruce Brown 2020-21 | 24 | +0.5 | +0.8, +0.1, -2.2, -3.1, -2.8 | 89 |
| Dorell Wright 2009-10 | 24 | +0.4 | +0.2, -0.7, -0.2, -0.2, +0.3 | 88 |
| Devean George 2001-02 | 24 | +0.3 | +0.5, +1.1, +0.2, +0.7, -1.0 | 88 |
| Solomon Hill 2015-16 | 25 | -0.2 | +0.1, -0.7, -1.5, -1.0, -1.8 | 88 |
| Dion Glover 2002-03 | 24 | 0.0 | -0.8, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Carlos Delfino 2006-07 | 24 | -0.4 | -0.6, under 10 games, -0.3, -0.1, -0.9 | 87 |
| DerMarr Johnson 2004-05 | 24 | +0.7 | +1.0, -0.8, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Terance Mann 2020-21 | 24 | -0.5 | 0.0, +0.3, -0.4, -1.5, -2.4 | 86 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Keshad's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Keshad Johnson's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $9.1M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $2.0M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$7.1M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.0
- Projected
- Retires at
- 25.1
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | MIA | 24 | 32 | 8.7 | +0.28 | +0.05 | +0.23 | 276th of 1185 |
| 2024-25 | MIA | 23 | 16 +2 | 6.1 | -1.85 | -1.53 | -0.32 | — |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections. It projects no minutes for Keshad Johnson right now, so there is no per-game line.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 18.8 | — |
| Rebounds | 10.2 | — |
| Offensive | 3.8 | — |
| Defensive | 6.4 | — |
| Assists | 2.1 | — |
| Steals | 1.8 | — |
| Blocks | 1.3 | — |
| Turnovers | 2.4 | — |
| 3-pt attempts | 6.9 | — |
| FG attempts | 14.9 | — |
| FT attempts | 4.1 | — |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 48.3% · 30.3% · 69.6% | |
