Branden Carlson
Age 27 · 7'0" · 220 lb
Rookie 2025 · 75 games
DPM · #285 of 530
-0.9Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +0.50
- -1.36 before the first game, -0.86 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +1.02
- Nov 17 vs NOP · 11 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.69
- Nov 5 vs POR · 8 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.18
- Last 20 games, vs 0.29 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-0.9 at age 26 in 2025-26 ranks 600th of 1,010 age-26 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Justin Hamilton, 2016-17.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Hamilton 2016-17 | 27 | -1.0 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 91 |
| Andrew Nicholson 2015-16 | 26 | -0.7 | -2.7, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Daniel Theis 2017-18 | 26 | -0.7 | -0.6, +0.6, -0.1, -1.0, under 10 games | 87 |
| Chris Boucher 2018-19 | 26 | -0.2 | -0.1, +1.5, +1.3, +0.8, +1.4 | 85 |
| Yuta Watanabe 2020-21 | 26 | -1.0 | -1.6, -1.2, -1.9, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Quincy Acy 2016-17 | 26 | -1.0 | -0.7, -0.4, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| Gigi Datome 2014-15 | 27 | -1.2 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| Cartier Martin 2010-11 | 26 | -0.9 | -0.9, -1.0, -0.6, -1.8, under 10 games | 83 |
| Keon Clark 2000-01 | 26 | -1.0 | -0.8, +0.3, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| Jon Leuer 2015-16 | 26 | -1.2 | -0.6, under 10 games, -2.5, under 10 games, under 10 games | 82 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Branden's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Branden Carlson's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $9.1M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $1.4M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$7.8M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.0
- Projected
- Retires at
- 27.1
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | OKC | 26 | 42 | 11.6 | -0.86 | -0.77 | -0.09 | 600th of 1010 |
| 2024-25 | OKC | 25 | 33 | 7.5 | -1.66 | -1.34 | -0.32 | 795th of 1078 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections. It projects no minutes for Branden Carlson right now, so there is no per-game line.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 21.4 | — |
| Rebounds | 12.3 | — |
| Offensive | 3.0 | — |
| Defensive | 9.3 | — |
| Assists | 2.2 | — |
| Steals | 1.0 | — |
| Blocks | 3.1 | — |
| Turnovers | 2.1 | — |
| 3-pt attempts | 10.1 | — |
| FG attempts | 18.3 | — |
| FT attempts | 3.3 | — |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 44.6% · 30.7% · 68.4% | |