Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -0.55
- +1.56 before the first game, +1.01 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.23
- Oct 29 vs IND · 29 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.21
- Mar 8 vs TOR · 5 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.07
- Last 20 games, vs 0.09 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+1.0 at age 34 in 2025-26 ranks 69th of 336 age-34 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Zaza Pachulia, 2017-18.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaza Pachulia 2017-18 | 34 | +1.0 | -1.8, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Marcin Gortat 2017-18 | 34 | +0.7 | -1.4, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Dale Davis 2002-03 | 34 | +0.8 | -0.8, +0.1, -3.2, -2.3, under 10 games | 83 |
| Nick Collison 2014-15 | 34 | +1.5 | -0.6, -1.8, -2.4, under 10 games, under 10 games | 82 |
| Jeff Foster 2010-11 | 34 | +1.7 | +1.3, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 82 |
| P.J. Brown 2003-04 | 34 | +1.4 | -0.4, -1.0, +0.3, -2.6, under 10 games | 81 |
| Chris Andersen 2012-13 | 34 | +0.8 | +1.2, +0.4, -0.7, -1.1, under 10 games | 80 |
| Grant Long 1999-00 | 34 | +0.5 | -0.5, -2.3, -2.7, under 10 games, under 10 games | 80 |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas 2009-10 | 34 | +0.2 | -1.3, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 80 |
| Brad Miller 2009-10 | 34 | +0.7 | -0.3, -1.5, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 80 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Dwight's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Historical comps
Echoes today
Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Dwight Powell's seasons, at the same age.
- Sandro Mamukelashvili TOR like his 2017-18 89
- Jalen Smith CHI like his 2017-18 86
- Brandon Clarke MEM like his 2019-20 85
- Jakob Poeltl TOR like his 2020-21 85
- Paul Reed DET like his 2017-18 80
Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Dwight Powell's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $15.8M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $4.0M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$11.8M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.6
- Projected
- Retires at
- 35.6
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | DAL | 34 | 63 | 14.4 | +1.01 | -1.52 | +2.54 | 69th of 336 |
| 2024-25 | DAL | 33 | 55 | 10.0 | +1.53 | -0.97 | +2.51 | 58th of 406 |
| 2023-24 | DAL | 32 | 63 +12 | 13.3 | +1.59 | -0.35 | +1.93 | 82nd of 530 |
| 2022-23 | DAL | 31 | 76 | 19.2 | +1.91 | +0.26 | +1.65 | 84th of 616 |
| 2021-22 | DAL | 30 | 82 +18 | 21.9 | +1.10 | -0.35 | +1.46 | 158th of 697 |
| 2020-21 | DAL | 29 | 58 +7 | 16.6 | +2.19 | +0.38 | +1.82 | 96th of 774 |
| 2019-20 | DAL | 29 | 40 | 26.5 | +1.85 | +0.91 | +0.95 | 119th of 774 |
| 2018-19 | DAL | 27 | 77 | 21.6 | +1.94 | +1.12 | +0.82 | 119th of 924 |
| 2017-18 | DAL | 26 | 79 | 21.2 | +1.76 | +0.39 | +1.37 | 137th of 1010 |
| 2016-17 | DAL | 25 | 77 | 17.3 | +0.51 | +0.10 | +0.41 | 268th of 1078 |
| 2015-16 | DAL | 24 | 69 +4 | 14.4 | -0.73 | -1.09 | +0.36 | 536th of 1185 |
| 2014-15 | DAL | 23 | 29 +2 | 8.1 | -1.68 | -1.53 | -0.15 | 734th of 1100 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 2.0 projected minutes and a pace of 95.0.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 9.8 | 0.4 |
| Rebounds | 13.7 | 0.5 |
| Offensive | 4.7 | 0.2 |
| Defensive | 9.0 | 0.4 |
| Assists | 3.2 | 0.1 |
| Steals | 1.5 | 0.1 |
| Blocks | 1.3 | 0.1 |
| Turnovers | 2.1 | 0.1 |
| 3-pt attempts | 2.3 | 0.1 |
| FG attempts | 6.4 | 0.3 |
| FT attempts | 4.8 | 0.2 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 55.4% · 26.4% · 66.4% | |
