Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +1.02
- -1.66 before the first game, -0.64 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.52
- Dec 31 vs TOR · 22 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.62
- Jan 5 vs PHI · 21 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.21
- Last 13 games, vs 0.30 in the first 13. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-0.6 at age 23 in 2025-26 ranks 428th of 1,100 age-23 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Guerschon Yabusele, 2018-19.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guerschon Yabusele 2018-19 | 23 | -1.0 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 91 |
| Moritz Wagner 2020-21 | 24 | -1.0 | -1.0, -0.3, +0.3, +0.5, -1.6 | 90 |
| Bruno Caboclo 2018-19 | 23 | -0.5 | -0.4, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 90 |
| DerMarr Johnson 2003-04 | 23 | -0.6 | +0.7, +1.0, -0.8, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| Rodney Carney 2007-08 | 24 | -0.9 | -0.6, -0.6, -1.5, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Jordan Hamilton 2013-14 | 23 | -1.0 | -1.8, -1.5, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Glenn Robinson III 2016-17 | 23 | -0.6 | -0.6, -1.5, -0.7, -1.9, under 10 games | 88 |
| Jeff Green 2009-10 | 23 | -0.5 | -1.7, under 10 games, -1.1, -2.6, -2.4 | 88 |
| Donte Greene 2010-11 | 23 | -0.8 | +0.3, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| James Anderson 2012-13 | 24 | -1.0 | -2.0, under 10 games, -0.8, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to DaRon's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against DaRon Holmes II's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $2.5M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $3.2M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$0.7M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.0
- Projected
- Retires at
- 23.9
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | DEN | 23 | 25 +2 | 8.4 | -0.64 | -0.36 | -0.28 | 428th of 1100 |
| 2024-25 | DEN | 22 | 0 | — | -1.55 | -1.33 | -0.22 | — |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections. It projects no minutes for DaRon Holmes II right now, so there is no per-game line.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 18.5 | — |
| Rebounds | 10.5 | — |
| Offensive | 2.9 | — |
| Defensive | 7.6 | — |
| Assists | 2.5 | — |
| Steals | 1.1 | — |
| Blocks | 1.8 | — |
| Turnovers | 2.6 | — |
| 3-pt attempts | 9.8 | — |
| FG attempts | 14.9 | — |
| FT attempts | 4.4 | — |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 45.6% · 32.0% · 76.0% | |
