Keegan Murray
Age 25 · 6'8" · 225 lb
Pick #4, 2022 Draft · Rookie 2023 · 256 games · 7 playoff games
DPM · #214 of 530
-0.3Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -0.51
- +0.20 before the first game, -0.31 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.57
- Dec 21 vs HOU · 47 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.25
- Jan 4 vs MIL · 27 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.18
- Last 11 games, vs 0.10 in the first 11. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-0.3 at age 25 in 2025-26 ranks 427th of 1,078 age-25 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Chase Budinger, 2012-13.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Budinger 2012-13 | 24 | -0.1 | -0.5, -0.8, -0.6, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| Rodney Carney 2009-10 | 26 | -0.6 | -1.5, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Mike Dunleavy 2005-06 | 25 | 0.0 | 0.0, +0.9, +0.4, +0.1, +1.4 | 88 |
| Bruno Caboclo 2019-20 | 24 | -0.4 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Austin Croshere 2000-01 | 26 | 0.0 | -0.3, -1.0, -0.5, -2.0, -0.5 | 87 |
| Francisco Garcia 2006-07 | 25 | -0.4 | +0.8, -0.5, -0.8, -0.1, -0.9 | 87 |
| Sasha Vujacic 2009-10 | 26 | -0.4 | -1.9, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Aaron Gordon 2020-21 | 25 | +0.3 | +0.8, +2.6, +2.1, +2.7, +3.1 | 86 |
| Andrew Wiggins 2020-21 | 26 | 0.0 | +1.5, +2.0, -0.1, -0.7, -0.6 | 86 |
| Morris Peterson 2002-03 | 25 | -0.3 | +0.6, +0.8, +0.2, -0.4, +0.1 | 86 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Keegan's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Keegan Murray's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $10.1M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $11.1M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$1.1M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 1.0
- Projected
- Retires at
- 26.9
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | SAC | 25 | 23 | 34.5 | -0.31 | -0.44 | +0.14 | 427th of 1078 |
| 2024-25 | SAC | 24 | 76 | 34.3 | +0.26 | +0.06 | +0.20 | 280th of 1185 |
| 2023-24 | SAC | 23 | 77 | 33.6 | +0.52 | +0.52 | +0.01 | 210th of 1100 |
| 2022-23 | SAC | 22 | 80 +7 | 29.8 | -1.00 | +0.03 | -1.02 | 403rd of 813 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 24.4 projected minutes and a pace of 94.8.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 19.9 | 9.6 |
| Rebounds | 8.8 | 4.2 |
| Offensive | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| Defensive | 6.6 | 3.2 |
| Assists | 2.5 | 1.2 |
| Steals | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| Blocks | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| Turnovers | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| 3-pt attempts | 8.2 | 3.9 |
| FG attempts | 17.9 | 8.6 |
| FT attempts | 3.3 | 1.6 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 41.4% · 33.5% · 78.2% | |