Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -0.11
- +1.09 before the first game, +0.98 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.40
- Dec 3 vs CHI · 13 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.33
- Jan 14 vs NOP · 19 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.11
- Last 20 games, vs 0.15 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+1.0 at age 24 in 2025-26 ranks 179th of 1,185 age-24 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Domantas Sabonis, 2019-20.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis 2019-20 | 24 | +1.0 | +1.2, +0.6, +0.7, +1.5, +1.1 | 86 |
| Andrew Bogut 2008-09 | 24 | +0.6 | +2.6, +2.0, +0.6, +0.8, +2.5 | 83 |
| Joakim Noah 2009-10 | 25 | +1.1 | +1.8, +1.8, +1.5, +2.7, +2.0 | 82 |
| Lamar Odom 2003-04 | 24 | +1.4 | +0.3, +2.0, +1.6, +3.3, +5.0 | 82 |
| Tyson Chandler 2006-07 | 24 | +1.2 | +2.9, +1.5, +0.5, +3.0, +2.1 | 81 |
| Aaron Gordon 2019-20 | 24 | +1.0 | +0.3, +0.8, +2.6, +2.1, +2.7 | 81 |
| Brad Miller 2000-01 | 25 | +0.1 | +1.3, +2.3, +3.7, +3.4, +3.4 | 81 |
| Clint Capela 2018-19 | 24 | +1.2 | +0.7, +2.3, +1.9, +1.1, +1.1 | 81 |
| Derrick Favors 2015-16 | 24 | +1.8 | +0.8, +1.7, +1.4, +1.9, +0.2 | 81 |
| Jared Sullinger 2015-16 | 24 | 0.0 | -0.6, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 81 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Day'Ron's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Day'Ron Sharpe's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $13.5M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $6.3M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$7.3M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 3.9
- Projected
- Retires at
- 28.6
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | BKN | 24 | 62 | 18.7 | +0.98 | -0.33 | +1.31 | 179th of 1185 |
| 2024-25 | BKN | 23 | 50 | 18.2 | +1.05 | -0.37 | +1.42 | 145th of 1100 |
| 2023-24 | BKN | 22 | 61 | 15.1 | +0.12 | -0.35 | +0.48 | 197th of 813 |
| 2022-23 | BKN | 21 | 48 +2 | 11.5 | -0.88 | -1.03 | +0.15 | 231st of 571 |
| 2021-22 | BKN | 20 | 32 +1 | 12.2 | -1.61 | -0.41 | -1.19 | 194th of 354 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 22.9 projected minutes and a pace of 94.4.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 23.3 | 10.5 |
| Rebounds | 17.0 | 7.7 |
| Offensive | 6.4 | 2.9 |
| Defensive | 10.5 | 4.8 |
| Assists | 5.8 | 2.6 |
| Steals | 2.4 | 1.1 |
| Blocks | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Turnovers | 4.0 | 1.8 |
| 3-pt attempts | 2.5 | 1.1 |
| FG attempts | 18.4 | 8.3 |
| FT attempts | 6.1 | 2.8 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 54.7% · 27.9% · 65.4% | |
