Dereck Lively II
Age 22 · 7'1" · 230 lb
Pick #12, 2023 Draft · Rookie 2024 · 98 games · 21 playoff games
DPM · #90 of 530
+1.1Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +0.21
- +0.88 before the first game, +1.09 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.21
- Nov 21 vs NOP · 18 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.43
- Nov 14 vs LAC · 17 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.15
- Average size of a game's change this season. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakob Poeltl 2017-18 | 22 | +0.7 | +0.5, +1.4, +1.8, +1.7, +2.2 | 85 |
| Jonathan Isaac 2019-20 | 22 | +1.6 | under 10 games, under 10 games, +0.8, +2.8, +1.8 | 85 |
| Andris Biedrins 2007-08 | 22 | +1.7 | +1.9, +0.5, -1.3, -1.3, -0.9 | 84 |
| Jarrett Allen 2019-20 | 22 | +0.8 | -0.5, +1.5, +2.2, +1.8, +2.6 | 84 |
| Jusuf Nurkic 2016-17 | 22 | +1.6 | +1.6, +2.6, under 10 games, +2.7, +2.3 | 83 |
| Kristaps Porzingis 2016-17 | 21 | +1.1 | +0.9, under 10 games, +2.6, +1.0, +1.4 | 82 |
| Amir Johnson 2008-09 | 21 | +1.2 | +2.5, +2.3, +2.8, +3.9, +3.2 | 82 |
| Michael Kidd-Gilchrist 2014-15 | 21 | +1.2 | under 10 games, +2.1, +0.9, +0.6, -0.6 | 82 |
| Yao Ming 2002-03 | 22 | +1.2 | +2.6, +3.1, +2.4, +2.9, +3.0 | 82 |
| Anderson Varejao 2004-05 | 22 | +1.3 | +1.7, +2.7, +1.1, +2.8, +2.9 | 81 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Dereck's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Dereck Lively II's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $11.7M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $5.3M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$6.5M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 1.7
- Projected
- Retires at
- 24.1
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | DAL | 22 | 7 | 16.5 | +1.09 | -0.68 | +1.77 | — |
| 2024-25 | DAL | 21 | 36 | 23.1 | +1.02 | -0.49 | +1.51 | 48th of 571 |
| 2023-24 | DAL | 20 | 55 +21 | 23.5 | +0.94 | +0.01 | +0.93 | 29th of 354 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 13.6 projected minutes and a pace of 94.6.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 17.0 | 4.5 |
| Rebounds | 14.2 | 3.8 |
| Offensive | 4.9 | 1.3 |
| Defensive | 9.4 | 2.5 |
| Assists | 3.7 | 1.0 |
| Steals | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Blocks | 2.9 | 0.8 |
| Turnovers | 2.3 | 0.6 |
| 3-pt attempts | 4.8 | 1.3 |
| FG attempts | 14.0 | 3.8 |
| FT attempts | 4.2 | 1.1 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 53.9% · 20.5% · 64.2% | |