Player

Al Horford

Golden State Warriors · C-F

Age 40 · 6'10" · 240 lb · Dominican Republic

Pick #3, 2007 Draft · Rookie 2008 · 1,193 games · 197 playoff games

DPM · #303 of 523

-0.9
Offense -1.6 Defense +0.6 Market +2.2 · playoffs +1.8 Last played Nov 11, 2026
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Talent Percentiles

Ratings

Skills

Shooting

Historical comps

Comps & futures

The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.

CompAgeDPM thenNext 5 seasonsMatch
Vince Carter 2016-1740-0.5 -1.8, -2.5, -3.6, under 10 games, under 10 games 84
Dirk Nowitzki 2018-1940-1.1 under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games 83
Sam Perkins 2000-0139-0.1 under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games 80
Derek Fisher 2013-1439-0.8 under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games 79
Manu Ginobili 2017-18400.0 under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games 75
Jason Kidd 2012-1340+0.7 under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games 70
Andre Miller 2015-1640-1.4 under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games 67
Darrell Armstrong 2007-0839-2.7 under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games 64
Kurt Thomas 2012-1340-2.5 under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games 63
Grant Hill 2012-1340-3.0 under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games 63

The 24 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Al's 2026-27 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.

Around the league

Top 10 comps today

Current players closest to Al Horford's current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.

  1. 1 Al Horford GSW Self
    -0.9DPMDPM Offense -1.6 Defense +0.6 Per 100 possessions:16.4points10.5rebounds5.2assistsP/R/A
    100.0
  2. 2 Mike Conley BOS ↗
    -1.2DPMDPM Offense -1.9 Defense +0.7 Per 100 possessions:13.0points4.8rebounds7.5assistsP/R/A
    80.8
  3. 3 Brook Lopez LAC ↗
    -0.5DPMDPM Offense -2.1 Defense +1.6 Per 100 possessions:22.2points9.3rebounds2.9assistsP/R/A
    80.2
  4. 4 Nikola Vucevic ORL ↗
    -1.7DPMDPM Offense -1.8 Defense +0.1 Per 100 possessions:20.4points13.7rebounds5.1assistsP/R/A
    78.3
  5. 5 Royce O'Neale CHA ↗
    -1.4DPMDPM Offense -1.8 Defense +0.4 Per 100 possessions:17.1points8.0rebounds3.4assistsP/R/A
    74.2
  6. 6 Dorian Finney-Smith ATL ↗
    -1.2DPMDPM Offense -2.3 Defense +1.1 Per 100 possessions:13.4points7.3rebounds2.9assistsP/R/A
    73.4
  7. 7 Kentavious Caldwell-Pope PHI ↗
    -0.3DPMDPM Offense -1.1 Defense +0.8 Per 100 possessions:15.4points5.2rebounds4.1assistsP/R/A
    72.8
  8. 8 Bogdan Bogdanovic HOU ↗
    -0.5DPMDPM Offense -0.3 Defense -0.3 Per 100 possessions:21.2points6.1rebounds4.8assistsP/R/A
    71.3
  9. 9 Buddy Hield CHI ↗
    -1.4DPMDPM Offense -0.9 Defense -0.5 Per 100 possessions:21.5points6.6rebounds5.0assistsP/R/A
    71.3
  10. 10 Georges Niang GSW ↗
    -0.6DPMDPM Offense -0.6 Defense -0.1 Per 100 possessions:21.5points7.1rebounds3.1assistsP/R/A
    71.0
How these matches work

Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.

100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.

Value

Contract & longevity

DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Al Horford's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.

Fair value
$5.6M
DARKO's market estimate
Salary
$6.8M
Actual
Surplus
-$1.2M
Value minus salary
WARP
1.0
Wins above replacement
Seasons left
0.6
Projected, within 15
Retires at
41.4
Projected age

Career

Season by season

DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.

Al Horford, season by season
SeasonTeamAgeGamesMPGDPMOffDefFor his age
2026-27 so farGSW401017.9-0.75-1.59+0.84—
2025-26GSW394521.5-0.64-1.11+0.4719th of 47
2024-25BOS3860 +1127.6+0.75-1.03+1.7819th of 78
2023-24BOS3865 +1926.8+1.13-0.73+1.8715th of 78
2022-23BOS3663 +2030.5+0.34-1.40+1.7558th of 189
2021-22BOS3669 +2329.1+1.87-1.08+2.9528th of 189
2020-21OKC342827.9-0.70-1.64+0.94169th of 337
2019-20PHI3467 +430.2+1.31-0.22+1.5464th of 337
2018-19BOS3268 +929.0+2.18+0.16+2.0156th of 530
2017-18BOS3172 +1931.6+2.12+0.07+2.0583rd of 616
2016-17BOS3068 +1832.3+1.98+0.56+1.42107th of 697
2015-16ATL2982 +1032.1+2.07+0.07+2.01107th of 774
2014-15ATL2876 +1630.5+2.43+0.86+1.58100th of 858
2013-14ATL272933.0+2.28+1.08+1.20109th of 924
2012-13ATL2674 +637.2+2.00+0.63+1.38115th of 1010
2011-12ATL2511 +331.6+1.90+0.52+1.37—
2010-11ATL2477 +1235.1+2.03+0.46+1.5896th of 1185
2009-10ATL2381 +1135.1+2.40+0.98+1.4252nd of 1100
2008-09ATL2267 +933.5+0.12-0.56+0.68210th of 813
2007-08ATL2181 +731.4-0.61-1.05+0.44194th of 571

Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.

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Projections

Projected box score

DARKO's rest-of-season projections per 100 possessions, and per game at 14.3 projected minutes when he plays and a pace of 97.6.

Al Horford, projected box score
StatPer 100Per game
Points16.44.8
Rebounds10.53.1
Offensive2.10.6
Defensive8.42.5
Assists5.21.5
Steals1.20.3
Blocks2.10.6
Turnovers1.90.6
3-pt attempts9.82.9
FG attempts14.74.3
FT attempts1.30.4
FG% · 3P% · FT%42.5% · 37.7% · 80.5%