Al Horford
Age 40 · 6'10" · 240 lb · Dominican Republic
Pick #3, 2007 Draft · Rookie 2008 · 1,183 games · 197 playoff games
DPM · #306 of 530
-1.0Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -0.76
- -0.29 before the first game, -1.05 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.31
- Jan 19 vs MIA · 19 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.32
- Nov 21 vs POR · 18 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.10
- Last 20 games, vs 0.11 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-1.0 at age 39 in 2025-26 ranks 23rd of 47 age-39 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Sam Perkins, 2000-01.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Perkins 2000-01 | 39 | -0.8 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 82 |
| Dirk Nowitzki 2017-18 | 39 | -0.1 | -1.7, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 81 |
| Vince Carter 2016-17 | 40 | -1.0 | -1.8, -2.5, -3.7, under 10 games, under 10 games | 79 |
| Grant Hill 2011-12 | 39 | -0.4 | -3.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 74 |
| Kyle Korver 2019-20 | 39 | -2.4 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 73 |
| Dale Ellis 1999-00 | 39 | -1.2 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 73 |
| Derek Fisher 2013-14 | 39 | -0.6 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 73 |
| Jason Kidd 2012-13 | 40 | -0.2 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 72 |
| Andre Miller 2015-16 | 40 | -1.7 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 70 |
| Paul Pierce 2016-17 | 39 | -2.7 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 68 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Al's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Historical comps
Echoes today
Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Al Horford's seasons, at the same age.
- Brandon Clarke MEM like his 2014-15 86
- Derik Queen NOP like his 2007-08 86
- Jakob Poeltl TOR like his 2015-16 85
- Jarrett Allen CLE like his 2013-14 83
- Khris Middleton DAL like his 2020-21 82
- Kristaps Porzingis GSW like his 2016-17 81
- Paul Reed DET like his 2012-13 81
- Ivica Zubac IND like his 2014-15 80
Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Al Horford's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $5.1M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $5.7M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$0.5M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.0
- Projected
- Retires at
- 40.2
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | GSW | 39 | 45 | 21.5 | -1.05 | -1.30 | +0.25 | 23rd of 47 |
| 2024-25 | BOS | 38 | 60 +11 | 27.6 | +0.30 | -1.05 | +1.36 | 17th of 78 |
| 2023-24 | BOS | 38 | 65 +19 | 26.8 | +0.86 | -0.95 | +1.81 | 15th of 78 |
| 2022-23 | BOS | 36 | 63 +20 | 30.5 | +0.46 | -1.42 | +1.88 | 52nd of 189 |
| 2021-22 | BOS | 36 | 69 +23 | 29.1 | +1.55 | -1.09 | +2.64 | 29th of 189 |
| 2020-21 | OKC | 34 | 28 | 27.9 | -1.58 | -1.75 | +0.17 | 214th of 336 |
| 2019-20 | PHI | 34 | 67 +4 | 30.2 | +0.49 | -0.81 | +1.30 | 94th of 336 |
| 2018-19 | BOS | 32 | 68 +9 | 29.0 | +1.85 | -0.01 | +1.86 | 61st of 530 |
| 2017-18 | BOS | 31 | 72 +19 | 31.6 | +2.05 | -0.09 | +2.14 | 74th of 616 |
| 2016-17 | BOS | 30 | 68 +18 | 32.2 | +1.32 | +0.10 | +1.22 | 142nd of 697 |
| 2015-16 | ATL | 29 | 82 +10 | 32.1 | +1.89 | -0.05 | +1.93 | 117th of 774 |
| 2014-15 | ATL | 28 | 76 +16 | 30.5 | +2.02 | +0.51 | +1.51 | 110th of 858 |
| 2013-14 | ATL | 27 | 29 | 33.0 | +2.26 | +0.76 | +1.50 | 107th of 924 |
| 2012-13 | ATL | 26 | 74 +6 | 37.2 | +1.97 | +0.34 | +1.64 | 111th of 1010 |
| 2011-12 | ATL | 25 | 11 +3 | 31.6 | +2.09 | +0.37 | +1.72 | — |
| 2010-11 | ATL | 24 | 77 +12 | 35.1 | +1.66 | +0.06 | +1.60 | 113th of 1185 |
| 2009-10 | ATL | 23 | 81 +11 | 35.1 | +2.13 | +0.38 | +1.75 | 57th of 1100 |
| 2008-09 | ATL | 22 | 67 +9 | 33.5 | +0.38 | -0.62 | +1.00 | 161st of 813 |
| 2007-08 | ATL | 21 | 81 +7 | 31.4 | -0.32 | -0.94 | +0.62 | 152nd of 571 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 10.5 projected minutes and a pace of 93.4.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 17.6 | 3.6 |
| Rebounds | 11.0 | 2.3 |
| Offensive | 2.3 | 0.5 |
| Defensive | 8.7 | 1.8 |
| Assists | 4.6 | 0.9 |
| Steals | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| Blocks | 2.3 | 0.5 |
| Turnovers | 1.9 | 0.4 |
| 3-pt attempts | 10.4 | 2.1 |
| FG attempts | 15.7 | 3.2 |
| FT attempts | 1.9 | 0.4 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 40.6% · 35.7% · 79.6% | |