Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +0.05
- +0.92 before the first game, +0.96 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.56
- Nov 3 vs MEM · 27 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.45
- Oct 27 vs CLE · 15 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.08
- Last 20 games, vs 0.16 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+1.0 at age 23 in 2025-26 ranks 156th of 1,100 age-23 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Gerald Wallace, 2004-05.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerald Wallace 2004-05 | 22 | +1.0 | +1.3, +2.2, +2.5, +2.9, +2.6 | 87 |
| Nerlens Noel 2016-17 | 23 | +0.6 | -0.6, -0.6, +0.2, +0.7, -0.1 | 85 |
| Kyle Anderson 2016-17 | 23 | +0.4 | +2.0, +0.8, -0.1, +1.7, +0.6 | 84 |
| Renaldo Balkman 2007-08 | 23 | +1.4 | +1.5, +1.3, under 10 games, +1.4, under 10 games | 83 |
| Al-Farouq Aminu 2012-13 | 22 | +1.4 | +0.1, +2.3, +1.2, +0.5, +1.4 | 83 |
| Jordan Bell 2017-18 | 23 | +0.2 | -1.4, -1.1, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| Luc Mbah a Moute 2008-09 | 22 | +0.8 | +1.3, +1.6, +1.1, +0.2, -1.3 | 83 |
| Julian Wright 2010-11 | 23 | +0.6 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| Jonathan Isaac 2019-20 | 22 | +1.6 | under 10 games, under 10 games, +0.8, +2.8, +1.8 | 82 |
| Trevor Ariza 2007-08 | 22 | +1.2 | +1.5, +0.6, +0.8, -0.3, 0.0 | 82 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Ausar's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Ausar Thompson's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $24.7M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $8.8M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$15.9M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 8.2
- Projected
- Retires at
- 31.7
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | DET | 23 | 73 +14 | 26.0 | +0.96 | -0.96 | +1.93 | 156th of 1100 |
| 2024-25 | DET | 22 | 59 +6 | 22.5 | +0.77 | -0.68 | +1.45 | 113th of 813 |
| 2023-24 | DET | 21 | 63 | 25.1 | -0.20 | -1.38 | +1.17 | 141st of 571 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 18.5 projected minutes and a pace of 94.0.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 15.1 | 5.5 |
| Rebounds | 11.3 | 4.1 |
| Offensive | 3.9 | 1.4 |
| Defensive | 7.4 | 2.7 |
| Assists | 4.8 | 1.7 |
| Steals | 3.1 | 1.1 |
| Blocks | 2.6 | 0.9 |
| Turnovers | 2.7 | 1.0 |
| 3-pt attempts | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| FG attempts | 12.7 | 4.6 |
| FT attempts | 4.3 | 1.6 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 52.3% · 26.5% · 54.8% | |
