Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +0.01
- +1.99 before the first game, +2.00 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.12
- Nov 30 vs UTA · 17 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.31
- Dec 18 vs NOP · 28 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.08
- Last 16 games, vs 0.06 in the first 16. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+2.0 at age 32 in 2025-26 ranks 57th of 530 age-32 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Jeff Foster, 2008-09.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Foster 2008-09 | 32 | +2.4 | +1.4, +1.7, +1.3, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Tyson Chandler 2014-15 | 32 | +2.6 | -1.5, -0.6, -1.7, -0.7, -1.8 | 85 |
| Bo Outlaw 2003-04 | 33 | +2.4 | -1.3, -1.8, -1.3, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Anderson Varejao 2014-15 | 32 | +1.7 | -1.5, -2.2, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Nene 2014-15 | 32 | +1.4 | +1.2, +1.3, +1.9, +1.0, under 10 games | 84 |
| Marcin Gortat 2015-16 | 32 | +1.5 | +1.0, +0.7, -1.4, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| P.J. Brown 2001-02 | 32 | +2.5 | +1.3, +1.4, -0.4, -1.0, +0.3 | 82 |
| Ervin Johnson 2000-01 | 33 | +1.4 | -0.2, -1.3, -1.3, -2.0, -3.2 | 81 |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas 2007-08 | 32 | +1.7 | +2.1, +0.2, -1.3, under 10 games, under 10 games | 81 |
| Greg Ostertag 2004-05 | 32 | +1.3 | -0.1, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 80 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Steven's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Historical comps
Echoes today
Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Steven Adams's seasons, at the same age.
- Moussa Diabate CHA like his 2016-17 87
Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Steven Adams's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $12.4M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $14.1M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$1.8M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.9
- Projected
- Retires at
- 33.9
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | HOU | 32 | 32 | 22.8 | +2.00 | -1.35 | +3.35 | 57th of 530 |
| 2024-25 | HOU | 31 | 56 +7 | 14.2 | +2.24 | -0.82 | +3.06 | 68th of 616 |
| 2023-24 | HOU | 30 | 0 | — | +1.35 | -0.92 | +2.27 | — |
| 2022-23 | MEM | 29 | 42 | 27.0 | +2.32 | -0.82 | +3.15 | 85th of 774 |
| 2021-22 | MEM | 28 | 76 +7 | 26.3 | +1.97 | -0.70 | +2.66 | 116th of 858 |
| 2020-21 | NOP | 27 | 58 | 27.7 | +0.84 | -0.71 | +1.54 | 226th of 924 |
| 2019-20 | OKC | 27 | 63 +7 | 26.7 | +2.65 | 0.00 | +2.65 | 78th of 924 |
| 2018-19 | OKC | 25 | 80 +5 | 33.4 | +2.58 | +0.10 | +2.49 | 69th of 1078 |
| 2017-18 | OKC | 24 | 76 +6 | 32.7 | +2.62 | +0.25 | +2.37 | 59th of 1185 |
| 2016-17 | OKC | 23 | 80 +5 | 29.9 | +1.68 | -0.51 | +2.19 | 92nd of 1100 |
| 2015-16 | OKC | 22 | 80 +18 | 25.2 | +1.22 | -0.80 | +2.02 | 77th of 813 |
| 2014-15 | OKC | 21 | 70 | 25.3 | +0.01 | -1.83 | +1.84 | 122nd of 571 |
| 2013-14 | OKC | 20 | 81 +18 | 14.8 | -0.62 | -2.08 | +1.45 | 91st of 354 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 14.9 projected minutes and a pace of 94.0.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 15.1 | 4.4 |
| Rebounds | 15.7 | 4.6 |
| Offensive | 6.5 | 1.9 |
| Defensive | 9.2 | 2.7 |
| Assists | 2.8 | 0.8 |
| Steals | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Blocks | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| Turnovers | 2.4 | 0.7 |
| 3-pt attempts | 2.8 | 0.8 |
| FG attempts | 11.9 | 3.5 |
| FT attempts | 5.4 | 1.6 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 49.3% · 18.2% · 51.0% | |
