Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -0.99
- -0.08 before the first game, -1.07 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.24
- Nov 17 vs CLE · 5 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.25
- Nov 26 vs MIA · 19 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.06
- Last 20 games, vs 0.11 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-1.1 at age 31 in 2025-26 ranks 383rd of 616 age-31 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Bobby Simmons, 2011-12.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Simmons 2011-12 | 31 | -1.1 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Quentin Richardson 2010-11 | 31 | -1.3 | -1.8, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| C.J. Watson 2015-16 | 31 | -1.3 | -2.3, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Kirk Hinrich 2011-12 | 31 | -0.8 | -0.1, +0.3, -1.6, -2.4, under 10 games | 87 |
| Garrett Temple 2016-17 | 30 | -1.6 | -2.4, -1.6, -1.6, -1.1, -3.8 | 87 |
| Wilson Chandler 2018-19 | 31 | -1.2 | -2.3, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Wesley Johnson 2018-19 | 31 | -1.6 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Wayne Ellington 2019-20 | 32 | -0.5 | -0.8, -0.5, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Luol Deng 2016-17 | 31 | -0.7 | under 10 games, +0.2, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Corey Brewer 2017-18 | 32 | -0.8 | -0.4, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Gary's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Historical comps
Echoes today
Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Gary Harris's seasons, at the same age.
- Christian Braun DEN like his 2018-19 90
- Shaedon Sharpe POR like his 2017-18 88
- Josh Green CHA like his 2019-20 86
- Keon Ellis CLE like his 2019-20 85
Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Gary Harris's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $6.0M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $3.6M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$2.3M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.1
- Projected
- Retires at
- 32.0
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | MIL | 31 | 48 | 13.8 | -1.07 | -1.56 | +0.48 | 383rd of 616 |
| 2024-25 | ORL | 30 | 48 +5 | 14.8 | +0.39 | -1.33 | +1.72 | 245th of 697 |
| 2023-24 | ORL | 29 | 54 +6 | 24.0 | +0.30 | -0.70 | +1.00 | 286th of 774 |
| 2022-23 | ORL | 28 | 48 | 24.8 | +0.36 | -0.19 | +0.55 | 311th of 858 |
| 2021-22 | ORL | 27 | 61 | 28.4 | -0.95 | -1.06 | +0.10 | 579th of 924 |
| 2020-21 | ORL | 26 | 39 | 27.7 | -1.60 | -1.21 | -0.39 | 779th of 1010 |
| 2019-20 | DEN | 26 | 56 +14 | 31.8 | +0.25 | -0.45 | +0.70 | 340th of 1010 |
| 2018-19 | DEN | 24 | 57 +14 | 28.8 | +0.49 | +0.57 | -0.08 | 248th of 1185 |
| 2017-18 | DEN | 23 | 67 | 34.4 | +0.82 | +1.91 | -1.09 | 172nd of 1100 |
| 2016-17 | DEN | 22 | 57 | 31.3 | +0.08 | +1.39 | -1.31 | 209th of 813 |
| 2015-16 | DEN | 21 | 76 | 32.1 | -0.63 | +0.63 | -1.26 | 195th of 571 |
| 2014-15 | DEN | 20 | 55 | 13.1 | -1.57 | -1.81 | +0.24 | 190th of 354 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 15.5 projected minutes and a pace of 94.2.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 14.2 | 4.3 |
| Rebounds | 5.0 | 1.5 |
| Offensive | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Defensive | 3.7 | 1.1 |
| Assists | 3.6 | 1.1 |
| Steals | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| Blocks | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Turnovers | 1.8 | 0.5 |
| 3-pt attempts | 7.7 | 2.3 |
| FG attempts | 12.6 | 3.8 |
| FT attempts | 2.0 | 0.6 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 40.1% · 34.3% · 75.1% | |
