Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -0.35
- -1.74 before the first game, -2.10 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.34
- Jan 15 vs UTA · 29 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.22
- Nov 7 vs MEM · 17 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.04
- Last 20 games, vs 0.07 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-2.1 at age 30 in 2025-26 ranks 602nd of 697 age-30 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Marquis Daniels, 2010-11.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquis Daniels 2010-11 | 30 | -1.7 | -1.4, -2.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Brian Scalabrine 2007-08 | 30 | -2.3 | -1.3, -2.7, -3.0, -2.6, under 10 games | 87 |
| Devin Brown 2008-09 | 30 | -1.8 | -1.2, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| DeAndre Liggins 2017-18 | 30 | -2.0 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Luke Walton 2010-11 | 31 | -1.8 | -2.8, -1.5, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Devean George 2007-08 | 30 | -1.4 | -2.3, -0.5, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Adam Keefe 2000-01 | 31 | -1.6 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Malik Allen 2008-09 | 30 | -2.1 | -4.4, -4.5, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| Billy Owens 1999-00 | 30 | -2.3 | -1.9, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| Cartier Martin 2014-15 | 30 | -1.8 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Caleb's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Historical comps
Echoes today
Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Caleb Martin's seasons, at the same age.
- Myron Gardner MIA like his 2020-21 90
- Craig Porter CLE like his 2020-21 84
Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Caleb Martin's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- -$0.5M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $9.6M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$10.1M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.1
- Projected
- Retires at
- 30.9
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | DAL | 30 | 58 | 14.8 | -2.10 | -2.71 | +0.61 | 602nd of 697 |
| 2024-25 | DAL | 29 | 45 | 27.1 | -1.76 | -1.97 | +0.21 | 628th of 774 |
| 2023-24 | MIA | 28 | 64 +5 | 27.4 | +0.26 | -0.36 | +0.62 | 328th of 858 |
| 2022-23 | MIA | 27 | 71 +23 | 29.3 | +1.24 | +0.35 | +0.89 | 185th of 924 |
| 2021-22 | MIA | 26 | 60 +17 | 22.9 | +0.73 | -0.23 | +0.96 | 254th of 1010 |
| 2020-21 | CHA | 25 | 53 | 15.4 | -0.94 | -1.51 | +0.57 | 606th of 1078 |
| 2019-20 | CHA | 24 | 18 | 17.6 | -1.03 | -1.08 | +0.05 | — |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 19.8 projected minutes and a pace of 95.1.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 16.1 | 6.3 |
| Rebounds | 8.0 | 3.2 |
| Offensive | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| Defensive | 6.3 | 2.5 |
| Assists | 3.6 | 1.4 |
| Steals | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| Blocks | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| Turnovers | 2.2 | 0.9 |
| 3-pt attempts | 4.5 | 1.8 |
| FG attempts | 13.6 | 5.3 |
| FT attempts | 3.9 | 1.5 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 42.2% · 32.5% · 62.6% | |
