Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -2.44
- +1.27 before the first game, -1.17 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.28
- Dec 7 vs POR · 23 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.31
- Nov 2 vs TOR · 27 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.11
- Last 20 games, vs 0.11 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-1.2 at age 33 in 2025-26 ranks 239th of 406 age-33 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Hersey Hawkins, 1999-00.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hersey Hawkins 1999-00 | 33 | -0.9 | -0.8, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Trevor Ariza 2018-19 | 33 | -0.6 | -0.6, +0.2, -1.5, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Charlie Ward 2003-04 | 33 | -0.7 | -0.1, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Devin Harris 2015-16 | 33 | -0.3 | -0.1, -0.3, -1.5, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Rashard Lewis 2011-12 | 32 | -1.1 | -2.9, -0.8, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Lucious Harris 2002-03 | 32 | -0.9 | -0.7, -2.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Cuttino Mobley 2007-08 | 32 | -0.8 | -0.9, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Voshon Lenard 2005-06 | 32 | -0.9 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| Deron Williams 2016-17 | 32 | -0.6 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| Raja Bell 2008-09 | 32 | -0.6 | under 10 games, -2.9, -3.1, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Kentavious's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Historical comps
Echoes today
Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Kentavious Caldwell-Pope's seasons, at the same age.
- Aaron Nesmith IND like his 2018-19 90
- Devin Vassell SAS like his 2017-18 90
- Miles McBride NYK like his 2017-18 89
- Kevin Huerter DET like his 2020-21 87
- Ja'Kobe Walter TOR like his 2014-15 84
- Josh Okogie HOU like his 2020-21 83
- Julian Champagnie SAS like his 2017-18 83
- Reed Sheppard HOU like his 2014-15 79
Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Kentavious Caldwell-Pope's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $4.9M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $21.6M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$16.7M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.1
- Projected
- Retires at
- 33.5
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | MEM | 33 | 51 | 21.3 | -1.17 | -0.91 | -0.26 | 239th of 406 |
| 2024-25 | ORL | 32 | 77 +5 | 29.6 | +1.65 | +0.02 | +1.64 | 78th of 530 |
| 2023-24 | DEN | 31 | 76 +12 | 31.6 | +1.90 | +0.62 | +1.28 | 86th of 616 |
| 2022-23 | DEN | 30 | 76 +20 | 31.3 | +1.59 | +0.69 | +0.90 | 118th of 697 |
| 2021-22 | WAS | 29 | 77 | 30.2 | -1.45 | -0.46 | -0.99 | 577th of 774 |
| 2020-21 | LAL | 28 | 67 +5 | 28.4 | +0.36 | -0.67 | +1.03 | 310th of 858 |
| 2019-20 | LAL | 27 | 69 +21 | 25.5 | -0.24 | +0.15 | -0.39 | 418th of 924 |
| 2018-19 | LAL | 26 | 82 | 24.8 | -0.54 | 0.00 | -0.54 | 517th of 1010 |
| 2017-18 | LAL | 25 | 74 | 33.2 | +0.94 | +0.59 | +0.35 | 204th of 1078 |
| 2016-17 | DET | 24 | 76 | 33.3 | -0.63 | +0.14 | -0.77 | 513th of 1185 |
| 2015-16 | DET | 23 | 76 +4 | 36.7 | +1.12 | +1.42 | -0.30 | 138th of 1100 |
| 2014-15 | DET | 22 | 82 | 31.5 | +0.15 | +0.47 | -0.31 | 190th of 813 |
| 2013-14 | DET | 21 | 80 | 19.8 | -1.51 | -1.62 | +0.10 | 347th of 571 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 20.4 projected minutes and a pace of 94.6.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 19.3 | 7.8 |
| Rebounds | 5.5 | 2.2 |
| Offensive | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| Defensive | 4.6 | 1.9 |
| Assists | 4.9 | 2.0 |
| Steals | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| Blocks | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Turnovers | 2.2 | 0.9 |
| 3-pt attempts | 8.2 | 3.3 |
| FG attempts | 17.4 | 7.0 |
| FT attempts | 3.5 | 1.4 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 40.7% · 34.3% · 85.2% | |
