Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -1.48
- -1.35 before the first game, -2.84 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.47
- Apr 5 vs BKN · 42 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.77
- Mar 27 vs GSW · 42 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.33
- Last 7 games, vs 0.23 in the first 7. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torrey Craig 2017-18 | 27 | -2.1 | -0.2, -1.2, -1.5, -2.3, -2.1 | 86 |
| Scott Burrell 1996-97 | 26 | -2.2 | +1.3, +0.1, +1.2, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Alfonzo McKinnie 2019-20 | 27 | -2.5 | -1.7, -3.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Malcolm Miller 2019-20 | 27 | -2.2 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Alex Acker 2008-09 | 26 | -2.5 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Brian Scalabrine 2003-04 | 26 | -2.5 | -1.5, -1.7, -1.8, -2.3, -1.3 | 84 |
| Damyean Dotson 2020-21 | 27 | -2.8 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Treveon Graham 2019-20 | 26 | -2.2 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Jawad Williams 2009-10 | 27 | -3.4 | -3.9, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| Earl Clark 2013-14 | 26 | -2.2 | -2.6, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 82 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Leaky's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Leaky Black's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- -$6.2M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $1.4M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$7.6M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 1.2
- Projected
- Retires at
- 28.0
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | WAS | 26 | 15 | 28.9 | -2.84 | -2.37 | -0.47 | — |
| 2023-24 | CHA | 24 | 26 | 10.9 | -1.79 | -1.94 | +0.15 | 881st of 1185 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 29.6 projected minutes and a pace of 97.8.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 13.2 | 8.0 |
| Rebounds | 7.9 | 4.8 |
| Offensive | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| Defensive | 6.2 | 3.8 |
| Assists | 2.8 | 1.7 |
| Steals | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| Blocks | 0.9 | 0.6 |
| Turnovers | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 3-pt attempts | 6.4 | 3.9 |
| FG attempts | 11.4 | 6.9 |
| FT attempts | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 41.5% · 35.5% · 75.9% | |
