Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -0.72
- -0.82 before the first game, -1.55 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.22
- Oct 27 vs UTA · 46 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.25
- Feb 24 vs BOS · 21 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.09
- Last 20 games, vs 0.09 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-1.5 at age 32 in 2025-26 ranks 377th of 530 age-32 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: James Posey, 2009-10.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Posey 2009-10 | 33 | -1.6 | -2.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| Keith Bogans 2012-13 | 32 | -1.4 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| James Jones 2012-13 | 32 | -1.8 | -0.4, -2.3, -3.0, -4.4, under 10 games | 87 |
| Wilson Chandler 2019-20 | 32 | -2.3 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Vladimir Radmanovic 2012-13 | 32 | -1.1 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Wesley Matthews 2018-19 | 32 | -1.1 | -0.3, -0.7, -0.6, -1.6, -3.0 | 85 |
| Nick Anderson 2000-01 | 33 | -1.4 | -1.9, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Randy Foye 2016-17 | 33 | -1.9 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Roger Mason Jr. 2013-14 | 33 | -1.5 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Bryon Russell 2003-04 | 33 | -1.1 | -0.7, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Royce's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Historical comps
Echoes today
Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Royce O'Neale's seasons, at the same age.
- Micah Peavy NOP like his 2017-18 90
- Myron Gardner MIA like his 2017-18 90
- Chris Mañon LAL like his 2017-18 87
Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Royce O'Neale's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $3.5M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $10.1M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$6.7M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.1
- Projected
- Retires at
- 33.3
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | PHX | 32 | 78 +4 | 28.4 | -1.55 | -1.44 | -0.11 | 377th of 530 |
| 2024-25 | PHX | 31 | 75 | 24.5 | -0.77 | -0.27 | -0.49 | 344th of 616 |
| 2023-24 | PHX | 30 | 79 +4 | 24.7 | +0.18 | -0.47 | +0.65 | 279th of 697 |
| 2022-23 | BKN | 29 | 76 +4 | 31.7 | -0.45 | -0.80 | +0.34 | 407th of 774 |
| 2021-22 | UTA | 28 | 77 +6 | 31.2 | -0.12 | -0.47 | +0.35 | 392nd of 858 |
| 2020-21 | UTA | 28 | 71 +11 | 31.6 | -0.29 | -0.83 | +0.54 | 424th of 858 |
| 2019-20 | UTA | 27 | 71 +7 | 28.9 | -0.65 | -0.90 | +0.24 | 512th of 924 |
| 2018-19 | UTA | 25 | 82 +5 | 20.4 | -1.21 | -1.46 | +0.26 | 686th of 1078 |
| 2017-18 | UTA | 24 | 69 +11 | 16.7 | -1.22 | -1.27 | +0.05 | 693rd of 1185 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 12.3 projected minutes and a pace of 94.0.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 14.9 | 3.6 |
| Rebounds | 9.3 | 2.2 |
| Offensive | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| Defensive | 7.8 | 1.9 |
| Assists | 3.7 | 0.9 |
| Steals | 1.7 | 0.4 |
| Blocks | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Turnovers | 2.0 | 0.5 |
| 3-pt attempts | 11.3 | 2.7 |
| FG attempts | 12.4 | 3.0 |
| FT attempts | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 38.7% · 36.4% · 73.3% | |
