Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -1.93
- +0.43 before the first game, -1.50 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.23
- Dec 6 vs DAL · 17 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.30
- Jan 3 vs DAL · 6 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.07
- Last 20 games, vs 0.10 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-1.5 at age 30 in 2025-26 ranks 517th of 697 age-30 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Devean George, 2007-08.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devean George 2007-08 | 30 | -1.4 | -2.3, -0.5, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Malik Rose 2004-05 | 30 | -1.3 | -2.1, -3.1, -2.6, -1.8, under 10 games | 87 |
| Greg Buckner 2006-07 | 30 | -1.0 | -2.2, -1.6, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Devin Brown 2008-09 | 30 | -1.8 | -1.2, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Kent Bazemore 2018-19 | 29 | -1.3 | -0.9, +0.9, -1.6, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Quentin Richardson 2010-11 | 31 | -1.3 | -1.8, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Cartier Martin 2014-15 | 30 | -1.8 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Garrett Temple 2016-17 | 30 | -1.6 | -2.4, -1.6, -1.6, -1.1, -3.8 | 85 |
| Adam Keefe 1999-00 | 30 | -2.1 | -1.6, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Luke Walton 2009-10 | 30 | -1.1 | -1.8, -2.8, -1.5, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Jae'Sean's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Jae'Sean Tate's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $1.0M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $2.3M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$1.3M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.1
- Projected
- Retires at
- 30.9
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | HOU | 30 | 46 +5 | 8.8 | -1.50 | -2.02 | +0.52 | 517th of 697 |
| 2024-25 | HOU | 29 | 52 | 11.3 | +0.27 | -1.10 | +1.37 | 294th of 774 |
| 2023-24 | HOU | 28 | 65 | 15.9 | +0.08 | -1.33 | +1.41 | 357th of 858 |
| 2022-23 | HOU | 27 | 31 | 21.8 | -1.03 | -0.94 | -0.09 | 607th of 924 |
| 2021-22 | HOU | 26 | 78 | 26.4 | -0.47 | -0.37 | -0.10 | 505th of 1010 |
| 2020-21 | HOU | 25 | 70 | 29.2 | -0.14 | -0.11 | -0.02 | 385th of 1078 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections. It projects no minutes for Jae'Sean Tate right now, so there is no per-game line.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 15.1 | — |
| Rebounds | 9.9 | — |
| Offensive | 4.0 | — |
| Defensive | 5.9 | — |
| Assists | 2.6 | — |
| Steals | 1.6 | — |
| Blocks | 0.6 | — |
| Turnovers | 2.1 | — |
| 3-pt attempts | 4.7 | — |
| FG attempts | 13.9 | — |
| FT attempts | 3.0 | — |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 44.3% · 32.0% · 66.4% | |
