Robert Williams III
Age 28 · 6'8" · 237 lb · USA
Pick #27, 2018 Draft · Rookie 2019 · 293 games · 61 playoff games
DPM · #29 of 530
+2.6Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +0.79
- +1.82 before the first game, +2.61 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.34
- Dec 20 vs SAC · 18 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.28
- Oct 31 vs DEN · 11 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.11
- Last 20 games, vs 0.11 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+2.6 at age 28 in 2025-26 ranks 85th of 858 age-28 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Amir Johnson, 2015-16.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amir Johnson 2015-16 | 28 | +2.6 | +2.7, +0.8, -1.1, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Derrick Favors 2019-20 | 29 | +1.9 | +0.2, -0.9, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Jeff Foster 2004-05 | 28 | +2.6 | +2.8, +2.3, +2.5, +2.4, +1.4 | 81 |
| Anderson Varejao 2010-11 | 28 | +1.9 | +2.6, +2.2, +2.4, +1.7, -1.5 | 81 |
| Joakim Noah 2012-13 | 28 | +1.5 | +2.7, +2.0, +0.8, -1.0, under 10 games | 80 |
| Lamar Odom 2007-08 | 28 | +3.3 | +5.0, +4.3, +3.7, -1.9, +0.4 | 79 |
| Chris Bosh 2012-13 | 29 | +2.9 | +2.3, +1.5, +1.7, under 10 games, under 10 games | 79 |
| DeAndre Jordan 2016-17 | 28 | +2.6 | +1.2, -0.5, -0.2, -1.0, -2.3 | 79 |
| Scot Pollard 2002-03 | 28 | +1.5 | -1.2, -0.3, +0.7, -0.6, -0.9 | 78 |
| Tiago Splitter 2012-13 | 28 | +2.6 | +3.6, +3.2, +2.0, under 10 games, under 10 games | 78 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Robert's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Robert Williams III's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $25.6M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $13.3M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$12.3M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 3.7
- Projected
- Retires at
- 32.5
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | POR | 28 | 59 +5 | 17.1 | +2.61 | +0.19 | +2.43 | 85th of 858 |
| 2024-25 | POR | 27 | 20 | 17.6 | +1.68 | -0.31 | +1.98 | 139th of 924 |
| 2023-24 | POR | 26 | 6 | 19.8 | +1.00 | -0.15 | +1.15 | — |
| 2022-23 | BOS | 25 | 35 +20 | 23.5 | +2.51 | +0.19 | +2.31 | 74th of 1078 |
| 2021-22 | BOS | 24 | 61 +17 | 29.6 | +2.79 | +0.90 | +1.90 | 49th of 1185 |
| 2020-21 | BOS | 23 | 52 +3 | 18.9 | +1.88 | +0.55 | +1.33 | 74th of 1100 |
| 2019-20 | BOS | 22 | 29 +13 | 13.4 | +0.70 | +0.61 | +0.09 | 120th of 813 |
| 2018-19 | BOS | 21 | 31 +3 | 9.1 | -0.39 | -1.73 | +1.34 | 161st of 571 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 11.0 projected minutes and a pace of 94.6.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 18.1 | 3.9 |
| Rebounds | 18.1 | 3.9 |
| Offensive | 6.2 | 1.3 |
| Defensive | 11.9 | 2.6 |
| Assists | 2.9 | 0.6 |
| Steals | 1.6 | 0.3 |
| Blocks | 4.6 | 1.0 |
| Turnovers | 2.4 | 0.5 |
| 3-pt attempts | 3.1 | 0.7 |
| FG attempts | 14.0 | 3.0 |
| FT attempts | 3.1 | 0.7 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 60.1% · 30.7% · 61.7% | |