Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -0.15
- +1.72 before the first game, +1.57 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.48
- Nov 12 vs SAC · 23 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.34
- Apr 5 vs HOU · 23 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.18
- Last 16 games, vs 0.20 in the first 16. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+1.6 at age 30 in 2025-26 ranks 120th of 697 age-30 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Chris Bosh, 2014-15.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Bosh 2014-15 | 31 | +1.5 | +1.7, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| Brook Lopez 2017-18 | 30 | +0.6 | +2.8, +2.4, +2.5, +1.7, +2.3 | 82 |
| Kelly Olynyk 2020-21 | 30 | +1.0 | +0.6, +0.6, -1.0, +0.4, -2.1 | 82 |
| Al Horford 2016-17 | 30 | +1.3 | +2.0, +1.9, +0.5, -1.6, +1.6 | 81 |
| Channing Frye 2013-14 | 30 | +1.7 | -1.4, +1.0, -0.1, -0.1, -3.1 | 81 |
| Rudy Gay 2016-17 | 30 | +1.0 | +0.5, +0.2, -0.2, +0.1, -0.5 | 80 |
| Boban Marjanovic 2018-19 | 30 | +1.4 | +0.8, +0.2, -0.6, -0.4, -1.7 | 79 |
| Mehmet Okur 2009-10 | 30 | +0.7 | +0.3, -2.4, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 79 |
| Danilo Gallinari 2018-19 | 30 | +1.3 | +2.0, -0.2, -0.8, under 10 games, -2.4 | 79 |
| James Johnson 2016-17 | 30 | +1.4 | +1.3, -0.3, -1.2, -1.1, -1.9 | 79 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Kristaps's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Historical comps
Echoes today
Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Kristaps Porzingis's seasons, at the same age.
- Dereck Lively II DAL like his 2016-17 82
Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Kristaps Porzingis's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $26.5M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $30.7M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$4.2M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 2.3
- Projected
- Retires at
- 33.3
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | GSW | 30 | 32 | 24.0 | +1.57 | +0.71 | +0.86 | 120th of 697 |
| 2024-25 | BOS | 29 | 42 +11 | 28.8 | +2.21 | +0.72 | +1.48 | 95th of 774 |
| 2023-24 | BOS | 28 | 57 +7 | 29.6 | +3.27 | +1.04 | +2.23 | 52nd of 858 |
| 2022-23 | WAS | 27 | 65 | 32.6 | +3.28 | +2.58 | +0.71 | 53rd of 924 |
| 2021-22 | WAS | 26 | 51 | 29.0 | +1.43 | +0.74 | +0.69 | 169th of 1010 |
| 2020-21 | DAL | 25 | 43 +7 | 30.8 | +1.03 | +1.30 | -0.27 | 188th of 1078 |
| 2019-20 | DAL | 25 | 57 +3 | 31.8 | +2.56 | +1.60 | +0.95 | 71st of 1078 |
| 2018-19 | DAL | 23 | 0 | — | +0.55 | -0.18 | +0.73 | — |
| 2017-18 | NYK | 22 | 48 | 32.4 | +0.94 | +0.09 | +0.85 | 98th of 813 |
| 2016-17 | NYK | 21 | 66 | 32.8 | +1.06 | -0.31 | +1.36 | 46th of 571 |
| 2015-16 | NYK | 20 | 72 | 28.4 | +1.26 | -0.24 | +1.51 | 19th of 354 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 14.2 projected minutes and a pace of 94.3.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 26.0 | 7.3 |
| Rebounds | 10.7 | 3.0 |
| Offensive | 2.7 | 0.8 |
| Defensive | 8.0 | 2.2 |
| Assists | 3.7 | 1.0 |
| Steals | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| Blocks | 2.5 | 0.7 |
| Turnovers | 2.4 | 0.7 |
| 3-pt attempts | 10.6 | 3.0 |
| FG attempts | 20.7 | 5.8 |
| FT attempts | 7.9 | 2.2 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 43.3% · 33.5% · 78.5% | |
