Jaren Jackson Jr. Profile

Game by game

Seismograph

DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.

Season change: -0.55; +2.17 before the first game, +1.61 at the end
Biggest boost: +0.46; Nov 30 vs SAC · 34 min
Biggest drop: -0.35; Feb 2 vs MIN · 31 min
Typical change per game: 0.12; Last 20 games, vs 0.16 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.

Historical comps

Comps & futures

The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.

+1.6 at age 26 in 2025-26 ranks 151st of 1,010 age-26 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Rudy Gay, 2012-13.

Comp	Age	DPM then	Next 5 seasons	Match
Rudy Gay 2012-13	26	+2.0	+1.5, +1.1, +0.3, +1.0, +0.5	87
Pascal Siakam 2020-21	27	+1.7	+2.8, +2.3, +1.7, +2.3, +1.0	82
Brook Lopez 2014-15	27	+1.5	+1.2, +1.3, +0.6, +2.8, +2.4	82
Robert Covington 2016-17	26	+2.1	+3.0, +2.1, +2.3, +1.8, +2.4	81
Stephen Jackson 2004-05	27	+2.0	-0.2, +0.5, -0.1, -0.3, +0.5	81
Al Horford 2012-13	26	+2.0	+2.3, +2.0, +1.9, +1.3, +2.0	80
Otto Porter Jr. 2018-19	25	+2.0	+1.8, +1.1, +2.8, under 10 games, +0.8	80
Derrick White 2020-21	26	+1.9	+0.7, +2.2, +2.4, +2.9, +2.0	79
Shawn Marion 2003-04	25	+2.4	+4.6, +5.3, +5.4, +2.9, +1.6	79
Kelly Olynyk 2017-18	27	+1.9	+1.1, +0.5, +1.0, +0.6, +0.6	78

The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Jaren's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.

Historical comps

Echoes today

Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Jaren Jackson Jr.'s seasons, at the same age.

Cooper Flagg DAL like his 2018-19 75

Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.

Value

Contract & longevity

DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Jaren Jackson Jr.'s salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.

Fair value: $23.5M; DARKO's market estimate
Salary: $35.0M; Actual
Surplus: -$11.5M; Value minus salary
Seasons left: 3.7; Projected
Retires at: 30.5; Projected age

Career

Season by season

DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.

Jaren Jackson Jr., season by season
Season	Team	Age	Games	MPG	DPM	Off	Def	For his age
2025-26	UTA	26	48	30.3	+1.61	+0.23	+1.38	151st of 1010
2024-25	MEM	25	74 +4	29.8	+2.20	+0.88	+1.31	96th of 1078
2023-24	MEM	24	66	32.2	+1.38	+0.16	+1.22	142nd of 1185
2022-23	MEM	23	63 +6	28.4	+2.38	+0.34	+2.04	40th of 1100
2021-22	MEM	22	78 +12	27.3	+2.21	+0.76	+1.44	37th of 813
2020-21	MEM	21	11 +5	23.5	+0.40	+0.23	+0.18	—
2019-20	MEM	20	57	28.5	+0.81	+0.64	+0.17	34th of 354
2018-19	MEM	19	58	26.1	-0.86	-1.18	+0.32	34th of 109

Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.

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Projections

Projected box score

DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 27.7 projected minutes and a pace of 95.4.

Jaren Jackson Jr., projected box score
Stat	Per 100	Per game
Points	28.4	15.7
Rebounds	9.3	5.1
Offensive	1.8	1.0
Defensive	7.6	4.2
Assists	3.3	1.8
Steals	1.8	1.0
Blocks	2.3	1.3
Turnovers	3.2	1.7
3-pt attempts	9.2	5.1
FG attempts	23.1	12.7
FT attempts	7.5	4.1
FG% · 3P% · FT%	44.1% · 34.2% · 76.8%