Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -0.89
- -2.09 before the first game, -2.98 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.69
- Feb 6 vs NYK · 6 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.61
- Mar 12 vs PHI · 5 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.22
- Last 18 games, vs 0.22 in the first 18. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-3.0 at age 24 in 2025-26 ranks 1119th of 1,185 age-24 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Bryn Forbes, 2016-17.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryn Forbes 2016-17 | 23 | -2.9 | -2.1, -0.9, -1.6, -1.1, -1.6 | 92 |
| C.J. Wilcox 2014-15 | 24 | -2.5 | -1.2, -3.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot 2018-19 | 23 | -2.9 | -1.0, -1.5, -1.8, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Orlando Johnson 2013-14 | 25 | -2.7 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Brandon Armstrong 2003-04 | 23 | -3.3 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Jeremy Richardson 2007-08 | 24 | -3.2 | -3.5, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Abdel Nader 2017-18 | 24 | -2.8 | -2.5, -1.7, -2.2, -2.7, under 10 games | 87 |
| Jarell Eddie 2015-16 | 24 | -2.3 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Quincy Douby 2007-08 | 23 | -2.3 | -1.5, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Joe Harris 2014-15 | 23 | -2.1 | under 10 games, -2.6, -0.6, -1.2, -0.6 | 86 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Chaz's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Chaz Lanier's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- -$1.4M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $1.4M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$2.7M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 1.7
- Projected
- Retires at
- 26.1
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | DET | 24 | 34 +3 | 7.7 | -2.98 | -1.72 | -1.27 | 1119th of 1185 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 0.7 projected minutes and a pace of 92.9.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 18.0 | 0.2 |
| Rebounds | 4.9 | 0.1 |
| Offensive | 1.3 | 0.0 |
| Defensive | 3.6 | 0.0 |
| Assists | 2.4 | 0.0 |
| Steals | 1.6 | 0.0 |
| Blocks | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Turnovers | 1.8 | 0.0 |
| 3-pt attempts | 11.1 | 0.2 |
| FG attempts | 18.7 | 0.3 |
| FT attempts | 3.0 | 0.0 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 36.8% · 33.0% · 74.6% | |
