Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -0.22
- +0.31 before the first game, +0.09 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.27
- Mar 27 vs MIA · 23 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.24
- Apr 5 vs IND · 31 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.09
- Last 14 games, vs 0.15 in the first 14. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jae Crowder 2019-20 | 30 | +0.4 | +1.3, +1.5, +0.3, -1.6, under 10 games | 91 |
| Nicolas Batum 2018-19 | 30 | 0.0 | -0.3, +1.5, +0.6, -0.1, -1.0 | 88 |
| Joe Harris 2020-21 | 29 | 0.0 | -0.3, -0.5, -1.8, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Reggie Jackson 2019-20 | 30 | +0.3 | +1.0, -0.3, -2.5, -3.3, -3.4 | 87 |
| Anthony Tolliver 2014-15 | 29 | +0.5 | +0.4, -0.4, +1.0, -1.0, -1.3 | 87 |
| Steve Novak 2013-14 | 30 | +0.1 | -1.4, -1.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Will Barton 2020-21 | 30 | -0.1 | 0.0, -2.1, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Wesley Matthews 2016-17 | 30 | -0.4 | -1.3, -1.1, -0.3, -0.7, -0.6 | 87 |
| Carlos Delfino 2012-13 | 30 | +0.3 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Jodie Meeks 2016-17 | 29 | 0.0 | -1.4, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Max's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Max Strus's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $15.9M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $15.9M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$0.1M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 1.2
- Projected
- Retires at
- 31.6
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | CLE | 30 | 12 +18 | 24.0 | +0.09 | +0.56 | -0.47 | — |
| 2024-25 | CLE | 29 | 50 +9 | 25.5 | +0.42 | +0.36 | +0.06 | 266th of 774 |
| 2023-24 | CLE | 28 | 70 +12 | 32.0 | -0.20 | -0.33 | +0.13 | 407th of 858 |
| 2022-23 | MIA | 27 | 80 +23 | 28.4 | -0.82 | -0.38 | -0.45 | 548th of 924 |
| 2021-22 | MIA | 26 | 68 +18 | 23.3 | +0.18 | +0.32 | -0.14 | 357th of 1010 |
| 2020-21 | MIA | 25 | 39 +2 | 13.0 | -0.56 | +0.22 | -0.77 | 496th of 1078 |
| 2019-20 | CHI | 23 | 2 | 3.1 | -1.74 | -1.35 | -0.39 | — |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 10.9 projected minutes and a pace of 95.0.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 17.2 | 3.7 |
| Rebounds | 8.8 | 1.9 |
| Offensive | 2.2 | 0.5 |
| Defensive | 6.7 | 1.4 |
| Assists | 3.9 | 0.8 |
| Steals | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| Blocks | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| Turnovers | 2.0 | 0.4 |
| 3-pt attempts | 11.5 | 2.5 |
| FG attempts | 15.0 | 3.2 |
| FT attempts | 2.0 | 0.4 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 40.0% · 36.1% · 82.3% | |
