Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +0.65
- -2.42 before the first game, -1.77 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.85
- Mar 23 vs BKN · 9 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.71
- Feb 4 vs SAS · 20 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.32
- Last 17 games, vs 0.21 in the first 17. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-1.8 at age 24 in 2025-26 ranks 877th of 1,185 age-24 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Denzel Valentine, 2016-17.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denzel Valentine 2016-17 | 23 | -1.6 | -1.1, under 10 games, -1.4, -1.7, -2.1 | 92 |
| Kelan Martin 2019-20 | 24 | -1.8 | -1.6, -2.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 91 |
| Lamar Patterson 2015-16 | 24 | -1.8 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 90 |
| Nicolas Brussino 2016-17 | 24 | -1.5 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 90 |
| Alex Abrines 2016-17 | 23 | -1.7 | -1.4, -1.4, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 90 |
| Orlando Johnson 2012-13 | 24 | -2.0 | -2.7, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| Jerome Robinson 2019-20 | 23 | -2.1 | -2.9, under 10 games, under 10 games, -1.3, under 10 games | 89 |
| Pat Connaughton 2016-17 | 24 | -1.7 | -1.3, -0.5, -0.8, -0.1, -0.1 | 89 |
| Travis Diener 2005-06 | 24 | -1.6 | -0.6, -1.3, -1.3, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| DaQuan Jeffries 2020-21 | 23 | -1.7 | under 10 games, under 10 games, -1.8, -2.6, under 10 games | 88 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Chris's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Chris Youngblood's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $1.2M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $1.4M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$0.2M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 1.7
- Projected
- Retires at
- 25.8
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | POR | 24 | 34 | 5.4 | -1.77 | -1.23 | -0.54 | 877th of 1185 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 14.6 projected minutes and a pace of 97.2.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 20.5 | 6.1 |
| Rebounds | 6.8 | 2.0 |
| Offensive | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| Defensive | 5.2 | 1.5 |
| Assists | 4.3 | 1.3 |
| Steals | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| Blocks | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| Turnovers | 2.0 | 0.6 |
| 3-pt attempts | 12.1 | 3.6 |
| FG attempts | 16.5 | 4.9 |
| FT attempts | 3.1 | 0.9 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 42.0% · 35.4% · 75.3% | |
