Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +0.69
- -3.03 before the first game, -2.34 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.57
- Dec 18 vs DEN · 29 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.50
- Jan 9 vs PHI · 9 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.12
- Last 20 games, vs 0.18 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-2.3 at age 22 in 2025-26 ranks 686th of 813 age-22 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Lonnie Walker IV, 2020-21.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lonnie Walker IV 2020-21 | 22 | -2.5 | -2.2, -2.2, -1.3, -2.3, under 10 games | 90 |
| Nik Stauskas 2015-16 | 22 | -2.2 | -1.9, -1.8, -3.1, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| Luke Babbitt 2011-12 | 22 | -2.6 | -2.4, -1.1, -0.9, -1.4, -0.8 | 88 |
| Tyler Dorsey 2018-19 | 23 | -2.1 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| James Anderson 2011-12 | 23 | -2.3 | -1.0, -2.0, under 10 games, -0.8, under 10 games | 88 |
| Malachi Richardson 2018-19 | 23 | -2.3 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| PJ Hairston 2014-15 | 22 | -2.2 | -2.2, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Rui Hachimura 2020-21 | 23 | -2.3 | -2.3, -1.4, -0.7, +0.2, -1.1 | 86 |
| Daequan Cook 2008-09 | 22 | -1.6 | -2.3, -0.1, -0.6, -1.8, under 10 games | 86 |
| Doug McDermott 2014-15 | 23 | -3.0 | -2.7, -2.4, -1.0, -0.7, -0.5 | 85 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Jett's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Jett Howard's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- -$0.6M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $5.5M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$6.2M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.0
- Projected
- Retires at
- 22.9
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | ORL | 22 | 55 +1 | 12.6 | -2.34 | -0.95 | -1.39 | 686th of 813 |
| 2024-25 | ORL | 21 | 60 +1 | 11.7 | -3.38 | -2.10 | -1.29 | 552nd of 571 |
| 2023-24 | ORL | 20 | 18 +2 | 3.7 | -1.39 | -1.30 | -0.09 | — |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 0.8 projected minutes and a pace of 94.7.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 19.4 | 0.3 |
| Rebounds | 6.3 | 0.1 |
| Offensive | 1.5 | 0.0 |
| Defensive | 4.8 | 0.1 |
| Assists | 2.6 | 0.0 |
| Steals | 0.9 | 0.0 |
| Blocks | 0.7 | 0.0 |
| Turnovers | 2.0 | 0.0 |
| 3-pt attempts | 9.8 | 0.2 |
| FG attempts | 16.5 | 0.3 |
| FT attempts | 3.1 | 0.0 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 38.9% · 33.4% · 83.1% | |
