Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +1.36
- -2.76 before the first game, -1.39 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.84
- Nov 11 vs BOS · 27 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.55
- Nov 23 vs MIA · 32 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.14
- Last 20 games, vs 0.26 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-1.4 at age 22 in 2025-26 ranks 482nd of 813 age-22 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Furkan Korkmaz, 2018-19.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Furkan Korkmaz 2018-19 | 21 | -1.3 | -0.2, +0.2, -1.2, -1.7, -1.5 | 94 |
| Doron Lamb 2013-14 | 22 | -1.5 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 90 |
| Svi Mykhailiuk 2019-20 | 22 | -0.9 | -1.8, -1.7, -0.9, -0.7, -1.4 | 90 |
| Sasha Pavlovic 2005-06 | 22 | -1.4 | -0.2, -2.1, -1.0, -3.1, -2.5 | 89 |
| Marco Belinelli 2008-09 | 23 | -1.5 | -0.5, +0.5, -0.8, -1.5, -0.8 | 89 |
| Kyle Korver 2003-04 | 23 | -1.5 | +0.6, 0.0, 0.0, +0.7, +1.1 | 89 |
| Donte Greene 2009-10 | 22 | -1.6 | -0.8, +0.3, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Cam Reddish 2020-21 | 21 | -1.2 | -1.2, -2.1, -1.5, -1.7, under 10 games | 88 |
| Zoran Planinic 2004-05 | 22 | -1.4 | -2.3, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Jaylen Nowell 2020-21 | 21 | -1.5 | -0.8, -2.2, -1.8, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Justin's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Justin Edwards's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $1.6M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $2.0M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$0.4M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.0
- Projected
- Retires at
- 22.6
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | PHI | 22 | 64 +9 | 15.3 | -1.39 | -0.98 | -0.41 | 482nd of 813 |
| 2024-25 | PHI | 21 | 44 | 26.3 | -2.63 | -1.76 | -0.87 | 499th of 571 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 2.5 projected minutes and a pace of 96.2.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 18.8 | 1.0 |
| Rebounds | 5.8 | 0.3 |
| Offensive | 1.4 | 0.1 |
| Defensive | 4.4 | 0.2 |
| Assists | 2.9 | 0.1 |
| Steals | 2.0 | 0.1 |
| Blocks | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Turnovers | 1.9 | 0.1 |
| 3-pt attempts | 8.6 | 0.4 |
| FG attempts | 16.6 | 0.8 |
| FT attempts | 2.8 | 0.1 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 41.4% · 33.2% · 74.8% | |
