Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +0.28
- -1.05 before the first game, -0.77 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.57
- Jan 30 vs PHX · 25 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.28
- Nov 2 vs ATL · 5 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.08
- Last 20 games, vs 0.10 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-0.8 at age 28 in 2025-26 ranks 518th of 858 age-28 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Austin Croshere, 2003-04.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Croshere 2003-04 | 29 | -0.5 | -2.0, -0.5, -2.6, -1.8, -2.4 | 88 |
| Marvin Williams 2014-15 | 28 | -1.1 | +1.2, +0.5, +0.8, +0.2, +0.2 | 87 |
| JaMychal Green 2018-19 | 28 | -0.1 | -0.8, 0.0, -1.2, -2.0, under 10 games | 86 |
| Matt Bonner 2007-08 | 28 | -0.4 | +2.0, +1.8, +1.6, +2.4, +0.8 | 86 |
| Shawne Williams 2014-15 | 29 | -1.3 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Dorell Wright 2013-14 | 28 | -0.2 | +0.3, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Darrell Arthur 2016-17 | 29 | -0.7 | -0.7, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Meyers Leonard 2019-20 | 28 | -0.6 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Cartier Martin 2013-14 | 29 | -0.6 | -1.8, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Andres Nocioni 2008-09 | 29 | -0.8 | -1.8, -2.0, -3.2, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Thomas's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Historical comps
Echoes today
Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Thomas Bryant's seasons, at the same age.
- Jabari Smith Jr. HOU like his 2019-20 88
- Leonard Miller CHI like his 2018-19 88
- Kel'el Ware MIA like his 2018-19 87
- Tristan Vukcevic WAS like his 2019-20 87
- Kyle Filipowski UTA like his 2019-20 84
Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Thomas Bryant's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $1.8M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $2.3M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$0.5M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.0
- Projected
- Retires at
- 29.0
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | CLE | 28 | 60 +9 | 12.2 | -0.77 | -0.70 | -0.07 | 518th of 858 |
| 2024-25 | IND | 27 | 66 +19 | 14.6 | -1.06 | -0.98 | -0.09 | 615th of 924 |
| 2023-24 | MIA | 26 | 38 +2 | 11.6 | -0.45 | -0.34 | -0.11 | 500th of 1010 |
| 2022-23 | DEN | 25 | 59 +1 | 18.3 | -1.59 | -1.34 | -0.25 | 778th of 1078 |
| 2021-22 | WAS | 24 | 27 | 16.3 | -0.80 | -1.04 | +0.24 | 562nd of 1185 |
| 2020-21 | WAS | 23 | 10 | 27.1 | +0.29 | +0.01 | +0.28 | — |
| 2019-20 | WAS | 23 | 46 | 24.9 | +0.55 | +0.45 | +0.10 | 204th of 1100 |
| 2018-19 | WAS | 21 | 72 | 20.8 | -0.39 | -0.35 | -0.05 | 162nd of 571 |
| 2017-18 | LAL | 20 | 15 | 4.8 | -1.74 | -1.71 | -0.03 | — |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 2.3 projected minutes and a pace of 95.3.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 22.7 | 1.0 |
| Rebounds | 12.9 | 0.6 |
| Offensive | 3.5 | 0.2 |
| Defensive | 9.4 | 0.4 |
| Assists | 2.0 | 0.1 |
| Steals | 1.2 | 0.1 |
| Blocks | 1.9 | 0.1 |
| Turnovers | 2.0 | 0.1 |
| 3-pt attempts | 10.4 | 0.5 |
| FG attempts | 18.3 | 0.8 |
| FT attempts | 4.3 | 0.2 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 44.9% · 33.2% · 78.8% | |
