Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +0.88
- +0.27 before the first game, +1.16 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.37
- Mar 10 vs DAL · 36 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.44
- Oct 27 vs CHI · 34 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.11
- Last 20 games, vs 0.12 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+1.2 at age 23 in 2025-26 ranks 136th of 1,100 age-23 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Marcus Smart, 2016-17.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Smart 2016-17 | 23 | +0.8 | +0.8, +0.9, +2.1, +1.8, +2.2 | 87 |
| Iman Shumpert 2013-14 | 23 | +1.0 | +1.0, +0.6, -0.6, -0.7, -1.7 | 86 |
| Eric Bledsoe 2012-13 | 23 | +1.7 | +2.1, +2.4, +2.2, +2.5, +3.6 | 86 |
| Metta World Peace 2001-02 | 22 | +1.1 | +2.8, +3.5, under 10 games, +3.5, +3.4 | 85 |
| Rajon Rondo 2008-09 | 23 | +1.2 | +0.8, +0.5, +0.8, +0.7, -0.6 | 84 |
| Justise Winslow 2018-19 | 23 | +0.4 | -0.5, -2.4, 0.0, -0.3, under 10 games | 83 |
| Aaron Gordon 2018-19 | 23 | +1.2 | +1.0, +0.3, +0.8, +2.6, +2.1 | 83 |
| Gerald Wallace 2004-05 | 22 | +1.0 | +1.3, +2.2, +2.5, +2.9, +2.6 | 83 |
| Trevor Ariza 2007-08 | 22 | +1.2 | +1.5, +0.6, +0.8, -0.3, 0.0 | 83 |
| Donte DiVincenzo 2019-20 | 23 | +0.6 | +0.4, -0.5, +0.1, +1.1, +0.3 | 83 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Dyson's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Dyson Daniels's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $30.1M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $7.7M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$22.4M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 6.3
- Projected
- Retires at
- 29.6
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | ATL | 23 | 76 +6 | 33.1 | +1.16 | -0.13 | +1.29 | 136th of 1100 |
| 2024-25 | ATL | 22 | 76 | 33.8 | +0.39 | -0.36 | +0.75 | 159th of 813 |
| 2023-24 | NOP | 21 | 61 +3 | 22.3 | +0.18 | -1.24 | +1.42 | 102nd of 571 |
| 2022-23 | NOP | 20 | 59 | 17.7 | -0.90 | -1.94 | +1.04 | 120th of 354 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 23.6 projected minutes and a pace of 96.1.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 20.3 | 9.6 |
| Rebounds | 10.4 | 4.9 |
| Offensive | 3.5 | 1.7 |
| Defensive | 6.9 | 3.2 |
| Assists | 7.8 | 3.7 |
| Steals | 3.0 | 1.4 |
| Blocks | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| Turnovers | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| 3-pt attempts | 4.2 | 2.0 |
| FG attempts | 17.0 | 8.0 |
| FT attempts | 3.3 | 1.5 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 49.0% · 28.1% · 60.3% | |
