Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +0.41
- +0.01 before the first game, +0.42 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.80
- Oct 31 vs UTA · 27 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.61
- Oct 25 vs DEN · 14 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.11
- Last 20 games, vs 0.28 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+0.4 at age 26 in 2025-26 ranks 313th of 1,010 age-26 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Patrick Beverley, 2014-15.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Beverley 2014-15 | 26 | +0.2 | +1.3, +1.4, +1.0, +1.3, +1.6 | 89 |
| Dorian Finney-Smith 2019-20 | 27 | +0.3 | +0.7, +1.3, +0.4, +0.1, +1.0 | 86 |
| Terrence Ross 2017-18 | 27 | +0.1 | +0.2, 0.0, -1.5, -3.5, -2.4 | 86 |
| Damion Lee 2019-20 | 27 | -0.1 | +0.1, -0.7, -1.4, under 10 games, -1.2 | 86 |
| Matt Barnes 2006-07 | 27 | +0.4 | -0.1, -1.1, +1.1, +0.2, +0.5 | 86 |
| Shabazz Napier 2017-18 | 26 | +0.3 | +0.4, +0.3, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Morris Peterson 2003-04 | 26 | +0.6 | +0.8, +0.2, -0.4, +0.1, -0.1 | 85 |
| Josh McRoberts 2013-14 | 27 | +0.8 | +0.7, 0.0, -1.1, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Mario Chalmers 2012-13 | 27 | +0.7 | +1.0, +0.1, +0.4, under 10 games, -0.4 | 85 |
| Rudy Fernandez 2011-12 | 27 | 0.0 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Collin's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Collin Gillespie's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $19.9M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $2.3M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$17.6M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 3.9
- Projected
- Retires at
- 31.0
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | PHX | 26 | 80 +4 | 28.5 | +0.42 | +0.12 | +0.30 | 313th of 1010 |
| 2024-25 | PHX | 25 | 33 | 14.0 | +0.12 | +0.02 | +0.11 | 341st of 1078 |
| 2023-24 | DEN | 24 | 24 | 9.4 | -0.95 | -0.81 | -0.15 | 616th of 1185 |
| 2022-23 | DEN | 23 | 0 | — | -1.98 | -1.32 | -0.66 | — |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 17.3 projected minutes and a pace of 93.9.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 19.0 | 6.4 |
| Rebounds | 7.0 | 2.4 |
| Offensive | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| Defensive | 5.3 | 1.8 |
| Assists | 6.0 | 2.0 |
| Steals | 2.0 | 0.7 |
| Blocks | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| Turnovers | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| 3-pt attempts | 11.8 | 4.0 |
| FG attempts | 16.1 | 5.5 |
| FT attempts | 2.4 | 0.8 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 39.5% · 36.7% · 82.7% | |
