Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +1.34
- -0.22 before the first game, +1.12 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.31
- Jan 13 vs ATL · 29 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.25
- Jan 12 vs SAC · 31 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.07
- Last 20 games, vs 0.11 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+1.1 at age 32 in 2025-26 ranks 112th of 530 age-32 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Derek Fisher, 2005-06.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Fisher 2005-06 | 31 | +1.2 | +1.6, +2.1, +1.7, +1.0, +0.9 | 87 |
| Hedo Turkoglu 2010-11 | 32 | +0.9 | +0.7, -0.4, -2.7, -3.3, under 10 games | 86 |
| Jared Dudley 2016-17 | 31 | +0.9 | +1.0, +0.1, -1.8, -2.7, under 10 games | 86 |
| Doug Christie 2001-02 | 32 | +1.7 | +2.0, +1.3, -0.5, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Rick Fox 2000-01 | 31 | +1.2 | 0.0, -0.1, -0.7, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Patrick Beverley 2019-20 | 32 | +1.6 | +1.7, +1.8, -0.8, -2.3, under 10 games | 85 |
| Aaron McKie 2003-04 | 31 | +1.0 | +0.5, -1.5, -2.5, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Greg Anthony 1999-00 | 32 | +0.8 | -0.3, -1.6, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Brian Cardinal 2008-09 | 31 | +0.6 | -0.8, -0.5, -1.9, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Joe Ingles 2018-19 | 31 | +1.3 | +1.0, +1.5, +0.4, -0.5, -1.9 | 84 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Marcus's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Historical comps
Echoes today
Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Marcus Smart's seasons, at the same age.
- Anthony Black ORL like his 2015-16 88
- Dyson Daniels ATL like his 2016-17 87
- Jordan Walsh BOS like his 2015-16 86
- Ja'Kobe Walter TOR like his 2014-15 85
- Jalen Suggs ORL like his 2017-18 85
- Reed Sheppard HOU like his 2015-16 83
- Josh Green CHA like his 2018-19 82
- Cason Wallace OKC like his 2015-16 80
Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Marcus Smart's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $29.9M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $19.9M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$10.0M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 2.3
- Projected
- Retires at
- 34.7
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | LAL | 32 | 62 +10 | 28.5 | +1.12 | -0.14 | +1.25 | 112th of 530 |
| 2024-25 | WAS | 31 | 34 | 20.0 | -0.07 | -0.60 | +0.53 | 249th of 616 |
| 2023-24 | MEM | 30 | 20 | 30.2 | +1.22 | +0.27 | +0.95 | 150th of 697 |
| 2022-23 | BOS | 29 | 61 +20 | 32.1 | +1.78 | +0.49 | +1.29 | 123rd of 774 |
| 2021-22 | BOS | 28 | 71 +21 | 32.3 | +2.24 | +0.74 | +1.49 | 96th of 858 |
| 2020-21 | BOS | 27 | 48 +5 | 32.9 | +1.83 | +0.81 | +1.01 | 128th of 924 |
| 2019-20 | BOS | 26 | 60 +17 | 32.0 | +2.10 | +0.54 | +1.56 | 104th of 1010 |
| 2018-19 | BOS | 25 | 80 +2 | 27.5 | +0.91 | -0.10 | +1.01 | 207th of 1078 |
| 2017-18 | BOS | 24 | 54 +15 | 29.9 | +0.80 | -0.31 | +1.11 | 204th of 1185 |
| 2016-17 | BOS | 23 | 79 +18 | 30.4 | +0.82 | +0.11 | +0.71 | 173rd of 1100 |
| 2015-16 | BOS | 22 | 61 +6 | 27.3 | +0.67 | -0.29 | +0.96 | 124th of 813 |
| 2014-15 | BOS | 21 | 67 +4 | 27.0 | -0.29 | -1.02 | +0.73 | 148th of 571 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 22.2 projected minutes and a pace of 94.3.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 15.7 | 6.8 |
| Rebounds | 5.5 | 2.4 |
| Offensive | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| Defensive | 4.2 | 1.8 |
| Assists | 5.5 | 2.4 |
| Steals | 2.5 | 1.1 |
| Blocks | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| Turnovers | 3.4 | 1.5 |
| 3-pt attempts | 8.0 | 3.5 |
| FG attempts | 13.5 | 5.9 |
| FT attempts | 4.7 | 2.0 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 39.8% · 33.6% · 77.4% | |
