Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +1.46
- -1.70 before the first game, -0.24 now
- Biggest boost
- +0.31
- Nov 20 vs ATL · 32 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.25
- Apr 19 vs POR · 20 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.08
- Last 20 games, vs 0.11 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-0.3 at age 26 in 2025-26 ranks 452nd of 1,010 age-26 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Bostjan Nachbar, 2006-07.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bostjan Nachbar 2006-07 | 26 | -0.1 | -1.6, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 91 |
| Glenn Robinson III 2019-20 | 26 | -0.7 | -1.9, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 90 |
| Al Harrington 2006-07 | 27 | 0.0 | +0.7, +0.9, -0.2, -0.4, +0.3 | 89 |
| Brandon Rush 2011-12 | 26 | 0.0 | under 10 games, -1.2, -3.7, -2.9, -2.3 | 88 |
| Allen Crabbe 2017-18 | 26 | -0.1 | +0.2, -1.7, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Dario Saric 2020-21 | 27 | -0.1 | under 10 games, 0.0, -0.9, -2.5, under 10 games | 88 |
| Linas Kleiza 2011-12 | 27 | -1.0 | -1.4, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Rodney Hood 2019-20 | 27 | -0.8 | -2.0, -2.1, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Joe Harris 2017-18 | 26 | -0.6 | -1.2, -0.6, 0.0, -0.3, -0.5 | 87 |
| Doug McDermott 2018-19 | 27 | -0.7 | -0.5, -0.5, -0.9, -2.2, -1.9 | 86 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Keldon's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Historical comps
Echoes today
Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Keldon Johnson's seasons, at the same age.
- Cam Whitmore WAS like his 2020-21 85
Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Keldon Johnson's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $9.0M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $17.5M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$8.5M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 5.3
- Projected
- Retires at
- 31.9
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | SAS | 26 | 83 +19 | 23.2 | -0.27 | +0.15 | -0.41 | 452nd of 1010 |
| 2024-25 | SAS | 25 | 77 | 23.9 | -1.90 | -0.37 | -1.53 | 871st of 1078 |
| 2023-24 | SAS | 24 | 69 | 29.5 | -1.61 | -0.47 | -1.15 | 822nd of 1185 |
| 2022-23 | SAS | 23 | 63 | 32.7 | -0.93 | +0.80 | -1.73 | 496th of 1100 |
| 2021-22 | SAS | 22 | 75 | 31.9 | +0.62 | +1.03 | -0.41 | 130th of 813 |
| 2020-21 | SAS | 21 | 69 | 28.5 | -1.07 | -0.30 | -0.77 | 255th of 571 |
| 2019-20 | SAS | 20 | 17 | 17.7 | -0.19 | -0.40 | +0.21 | — |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 13.9 projected minutes and a pace of 95.3.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 24.1 | 6.6 |
| Rebounds | 9.1 | 2.5 |
| Offensive | 2.9 | 0.8 |
| Defensive | 6.1 | 1.7 |
| Assists | 1.9 | 0.5 |
| Steals | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| Blocks | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| Turnovers | 2.3 | 0.6 |
| 3-pt attempts | 8.8 | 2.4 |
| FG attempts | 20.2 | 5.6 |
| FT attempts | 5.1 | 1.4 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 44.8% · 35.1% · 74.8% | |
