Zach Collins
Age 28 · 6'11" · 250 lb · USA
Pick #10, 2017 Draft · Rookie 2018 · 395 games · 20 playoff games
DPM · #371 of 523
-1.6Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Kaminsky 2020-21 | 28 | -1.0 | under 10 games, +0.4, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Marvin Williams 2014-15 | 28 | -0.9 | +0.9, +0.6, +0.5, 0.0, +0.3 | 87 |
| Luc Mbah a Moute 2014-15 | 28 | -1.6 | +0.8, +1.5, +1.1, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Lorenzen Wright 2003-04 | 28 | -1.3 | -0.6, +0.1, -1.8, -2.0, -2.4 | 85 |
| Jake Voskuhl 2005-06 | 28 | -1.5 | -1.6, -1.9, -1.8, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Glen Davis 2013-14 | 28 | -1.7 | -2.6, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Antonio McDyess 2003-04 | 29 | -1.2 | -1.0, -0.7, +0.8, +0.1, -1.4 | 85 |
| Shawne Williams 2014-15 | 29 | -1.2 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Trevor Booker 2016-17 | 29 | -1.3 | -1.2, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Mark Blount 2004-05 | 29 | -1.1 | -2.0, -2.2, -2.9, -2.4, under 10 games | 84 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Zach's 2026-27 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Around the league
Top 10 comps today
Current players closest to Zach Collins's current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.
- -1.6DPMDPM Offense -2.2 Defense +0.6 Per 100 possessions:19.4points13.1rebounds4.5assistsP/R/A100.0
- -1.5DPMDPM Offense -1.9 Defense +0.4 Per 100 possessions:20.0points9.7rebounds4.9assistsP/R/A86.0
- -2.0DPMDPM Offense -2.2 Defense +0.2 Per 100 possessions:15.6points9.0rebounds3.7assistsP/R/A85.2
- -2.0DPMDPM Offense -2.2 Defense +0.2 Per 100 possessions:21.1points9.1rebounds4.3assistsP/R/A85.0
- -1.7DPMDPM Offense -2.2 Defense +0.5 Per 100 possessions:21.0points11.8rebounds3.2assistsP/R/A84.2
- -1.3DPMDPM Offense -1.1 Defense -0.2 Per 100 possessions:21.6points10.5rebounds2.5assistsP/R/A83.9
- -1.9DPMDPM Offense -1.9 Defense 0.0 Per 100 possessions:16.5points14.1rebounds4.8assistsP/R/A83.7
- -1.6DPMDPM Offense -1.8 Defense +0.2 Per 100 possessions:22.0points13.0rebounds3.7assistsP/R/A83.6
- -1.9DPMDPM Offense -2.1 Defense +0.2 Per 100 possessions:19.2points10.9rebounds2.4assistsP/R/A83.6
- -1.1DPMDPM Offense -1.4 Defense +0.3 Per 100 possessions:18.2points11.5rebounds5.2assistsP/R/A83.5
How these matches work
Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.
100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Zach Collins's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $1.6M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $8.3M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$6.7M
- Value minus salary
- WARP
- 0.1
- Wins above replacement
- Seasons left
- 1.6
- Projected, within 15
- Retires at
- 31.0
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 so far | CHI | 28 | 7 | 7.9 | -1.38 | -2.10 | +0.71 | — |
| 2025-26 | CHI | 28 | 10 | 18.4 | -0.73 | -1.73 | +1.00 | — |
| 2024-25 | CHI | 27 | 64 | 15.3 | -1.21 | -1.95 | +0.74 | 668th of 924 |
| 2023-24 | SAS | 26 | 69 | 22.1 | -2.36 | -2.32 | -0.04 | 928th of 1010 |
| 2022-23 | SAS | 25 | 63 | 22.9 | -0.62 | -1.10 | +0.48 | 560th of 1077 |
| 2021-22 | SAS | 24 | 28 | 17.9 | -0.02 | -1.09 | +1.07 | 384th of 1185 |
| 2020-21 | POR | 23 | 0 | — | -0.26 | -1.11 | +0.85 | — |
| 2019-20 | POR | 22 | 11 | 26.4 | -1.44 | -1.98 | +0.54 | — |
| 2018-19 | POR | 21 | 77 +16 | 17.6 | -1.42 | -1.76 | +0.34 | 328th of 571 |
| 2017-18 | POR | 20 | 66 +4 | 15.8 | -2.40 | -2.13 | -0.27 | 273rd of 354 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's rest-of-season projections per 100 possessions, and per game at 4.6 projected minutes when he plays and a pace of 100.5.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 19.4 | 1.8 |
| Rebounds | 13.1 | 1.2 |
| Offensive | 4.2 | 0.4 |
| Defensive | 8.9 | 0.8 |
| Assists | 4.5 | 0.4 |
| Steals | 1.3 | 0.1 |
| Blocks | 1.2 | 0.1 |
| Turnovers | 2.7 | 0.3 |
| 3-pt attempts | 5.9 | 0.6 |
| FG attempts | 15.2 | 1.4 |
| FT attempts | 3.8 | 0.4 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 50.4% · 33.9% · 76.9% | |