Zach Collins Profile

Game by game

Seismograph

DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.

Season change: +0.45; -0.70 before the first game, -0.25 at the end
Biggest boost: +0.38; Dec 26 vs PHI · 19 min
Biggest drop: -0.26; Dec 21 vs ATL · 16 min
Typical change per game: 0.19; Last 5 games, vs 0.14 in the first 5. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.

Historical comps

Comps & futures

The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.

Comp	Age	DPM then	Next 5 seasons	Match
Kosta Koufos 2017-18	29	-0.2	-1.1, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	86
Daniel Theis 2020-21	29	-0.1	-1.0, under 10 games, -2.1, -1.2, under 10 games	86
Khem Birch 2020-21	28	-0.1	-0.4, -0.7, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	86
Darrell Arthur 2015-16	28	+0.1	-0.7, -0.7, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	85
Othella Harrington 2001-02	28	-0.2	-0.4, -1.8, -1.1, -1.8, -2.6	84
Jake Voskuhl 2005-06	28	-0.9	-1.9, -1.5, -1.5, under 10 games, under 10 games	84
Jon Leuer 2016-17	27	-0.6	under 10 games, -2.5, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	84
Alex Len 2020-21	27	-0.1	-1.4, -1.0, +1.0, -2.3, under 10 games	84
Kyle O'Quinn 2018-19	29	-0.5	-1.8, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	84
Alexis Ajinca 2015-16	27	-0.5	-0.8, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	83

The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Zach's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.

Historical comps

Echoes today

Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Zach Collins's seasons, at the same age.

Carter Bryant SAS like his 2017-18 89
Tidjane Salaün CHA like his 2017-18 87
Yves Missi NOP like his 2018-19 85

Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.

Value

Contract & longevity

DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Zach Collins's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.

Fair value: $8.8M; DARKO's market estimate
Salary: $18.1M; Actual
Surplus: -$9.3M; Value minus salary
Seasons left: 0.0; Projected
Retires at: 28.7; Projected age

Career

Season by season

DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.

Zach Collins, season by season
Season	Team	Age	Games	MPG	DPM	Off	Def	For his age
2025-26	CHI	28	10	18.4	-0.25	-1.46	+1.21	—
2024-25	CHI	27	64	15.2	-0.73	-1.81	+1.08	526th of 924
2023-24	SAS	26	69	22.1	-2.41	-2.39	-0.03	932nd of 1010
2022-23	SAS	25	63	22.9	-0.85	-1.18	+0.32	586th of 1078
2021-22	SAS	24	28	17.9	-0.64	-1.34	+0.70	517th of 1185
2020-21	POR	23	0	—	-0.48	-1.02	+0.54	—
2019-20	POR	22	11	26.4	-1.54	-2.14	+0.60	—
2018-19	POR	21	77 +16	17.6	-1.19	-1.69	+0.50	276th of 571
2017-18	POR	20	66 +4	15.8	-2.35	-2.00	-0.35	269th of 354

Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.

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Projections

Projected box score

DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 14.9 projected minutes and a pace of 94.6.

Zach Collins, projected box score
Stat	Per 100	Per game
Points	20.3	5.9
Rebounds	13.5	4.0
Offensive	4.2	1.2
Defensive	9.3	2.7
Assists	4.1	1.2
Steals	1.2	0.4
Blocks	1.4	0.4
Turnovers	2.8	0.8
3-pt attempts	6.0	1.8
FG attempts	16.4	4.8
FT attempts	4.4	1.3
FG% · 3P% · FT%	47.4% · 32.6% · 78.5%