Scottie Barnes
Age 24 · 6'7" · 225 lb
Pick #4, 2021 Draft · Rookie 2022 · 356 games · 11 playoff games
DPM · #27 of 530
+2.8Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +2.10
- +0.73 before the first game, +2.83 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.45
- Nov 2 vs MEM · 32 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.43
- Dec 21 vs BKN · 34 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.12
- Last 20 games, vs 0.12 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+2.8 at age 24 in 2025-26 ranks 47th of 1,185 age-24 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Eric Bledsoe, 2014-15.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Bledsoe 2014-15 | 25 | +2.4 | +2.2, +2.5, +3.6, +3.8, +3.4 | 82 |
| Jrue Holiday 2014-15 | 24 | +2.3 | +2.4, +2.4, +3.6, +4.3, +3.2 | 82 |
| Andre Iguodala 2008-09 | 25 | +2.3 | +1.4, +2.3, +2.4, +2.5, +3.6 | 82 |
| Ben Simmons 2020-21 | 24 | +1.9 | under 10 games, +0.2, +0.6, -0.7, under 10 games | 81 |
| Josh Smith 2009-10 | 24 | +2.8 | +2.7, +3.5, +2.9, +0.3, +1.6 | 80 |
| Gerald Wallace 2006-07 | 24 | +2.2 | +2.5, +2.9, +2.6, +3.2, +2.1 | 80 |
| Khris Middleton 2015-16 | 24 | +2.3 | +2.8, +2.6, +3.1, +3.6, +2.5 | 79 |
| Draymond Green 2014-15 | 25 | +2.9 | +4.5, +4.1, +3.8, +2.5, +2.4 | 79 |
| Stephen Curry 2011-12 | 24 | +2.6 | +3.9, +5.8, +7.1, +7.6, +8.0 | 79 |
| Baron Davis 2002-03 | 24 | +2.6 | +3.9, +3.6, +3.8, +5.2, +4.6 | 78 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Scottie's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Scottie Barnes's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $54.5M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $38.7M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$15.8M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 9.8
- Projected
- Retires at
- 34.7
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | TOR | 24 | 80 +7 | 33.5 | +2.83 | +1.33 | +1.50 | 47th of 1185 |
| 2024-25 | TOR | 23 | 65 | 32.8 | +0.69 | -0.02 | +0.71 | 188th of 1100 |
| 2023-24 | TOR | 22 | 60 | 34.9 | +0.79 | +0.83 | -0.04 | 110th of 813 |
| 2022-23 | TOR | 21 | 77 | 34.8 | +0.46 | +0.07 | +0.39 | 75th of 571 |
| 2021-22 | TOR | 20 | 74 +4 | 35.4 | +0.24 | +0.11 | +0.13 | 49th of 354 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 25.4 projected minutes and a pace of 94.3.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 25.2 | 12.6 |
| Rebounds | 10.5 | 5.2 |
| Offensive | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| Defensive | 8.0 | 4.0 |
| Assists | 8.6 | 4.3 |
| Steals | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| Blocks | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| Turnovers | 4.3 | 2.2 |
| 3-pt attempts | 3.5 | 1.7 |
| FG attempts | 19.6 | 9.8 |
| FT attempts | 6.8 | 3.4 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 47.5% · 32.2% · 77.0% | |