Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +1.55
- +1.42 before the first game, +2.97 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.34
- Mar 30 vs PHI · 42 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.27
- Mar 12 vs MIL · 35 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.12
- Last 20 games, vs 0.10 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+3.0 at age 28 in 2025-26 ranks 67th of 858 age-28 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Kevin Love, 2016-17.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Love 2016-17 | 28 | +2.6 | +1.2, +1.9, -0.2, -0.2, -0.4 | 86 |
| Gerald Wallace 2010-11 | 28 | +3.2 | +2.1, +2.4, +0.9, +0.9, under 10 games | 85 |
| Tobias Harris 2020-21 | 28 | +2.1 | +1.0, +1.0, +0.6, +0.7, +1.3 | 83 |
| Danny Granger 2011-12 | 29 | +3.0 | under 10 games, -1.2, -1.8, under 10 games, under 10 games | 82 |
| Pau Gasol 2008-09 | 28 | +2.7 | +2.1, +2.6, +1.9, +0.9, -0.5 | 82 |
| Josh Howard 2008-09 | 29 | +2.6 | +0.7, -0.8, -2.1, -1.8, under 10 games | 82 |
| Paul Millsap 2013-14 | 29 | +3.5 | +3.9, +3.6, +2.9, +1.7, +2.3 | 82 |
| Chris Webber 2000-01 | 28 | +3.5 | +3.8, +3.7, +2.4, 0.0, 0.0 | 81 |
| Rashard Lewis 2007-08 | 28 | +2.7 | +3.5, +2.8, +0.6, -1.1, -2.9 | 81 |
| Chris Bosh 2012-13 | 29 | +2.9 | +2.3, +1.5, +1.7, under 10 games, under 10 games | 81 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Bam's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Historical comps
Echoes today
Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Bam Adebayo's seasons, at the same age.
- Alperen Sengun HOU like his 2020-21 91
- Jalen Duren DET like his 2019-20 88
- Amen Thompson HOU like his 2020-21 86
- Donovan Clingan POR like his 2018-19 79
Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Bam Adebayo's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $46.2M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $37.1M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$9.1M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 5.3
- Projected
- Retires at
- 34.3
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | MIA | 28 | 73 | 32.4 | +2.97 | +1.82 | +1.16 | 67th of 858 |
| 2024-25 | MIA | 27 | 78 +4 | 34.3 | +1.61 | +0.35 | +1.26 | 149th of 924 |
| 2023-24 | MIA | 26 | 71 +5 | 34.0 | +1.87 | +0.17 | +1.70 | 123rd of 1010 |
| 2022-23 | MIA | 25 | 75 +23 | 34.6 | +2.00 | +0.87 | +1.13 | 111th of 1078 |
| 2021-22 | MIA | 24 | 56 +18 | 32.6 | +3.05 | +0.93 | +2.12 | 41st of 1185 |
| 2020-21 | MIA | 23 | 64 +4 | 33.5 | +1.95 | +0.94 | +1.01 | 70th of 1100 |
| 2019-20 | MIA | 23 | 72 +19 | 33.6 | +1.91 | +0.91 | +1.01 | 72nd of 1100 |
| 2018-19 | MIA | 21 | 82 | 23.3 | +1.11 | -0.60 | +1.71 | 44th of 571 |
| 2017-18 | MIA | 20 | 69 +5 | 19.8 | -1.46 | -1.81 | +0.35 | 176th of 354 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 27.3 projected minutes and a pace of 95.6.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 29.4 | 16.0 |
| Rebounds | 14.9 | 8.1 |
| Offensive | 3.1 | 1.7 |
| Defensive | 11.8 | 6.4 |
| Assists | 5.1 | 2.8 |
| Steals | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| Blocks | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| Turnovers | 3.0 | 1.6 |
| 3-pt attempts | 8.4 | 4.6 |
| FG attempts | 23.7 | 12.9 |
| FT attempts | 9.0 | 4.9 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 43.7% · 31.4% · 75.2% | |
