Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +0.55
- +0.74 before the first game, +1.29 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.35
- Dec 6 vs NOP · 33 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.25
- Jan 19 vs PHX · 37 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.09
- Last 20 games, vs 0.11 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+1.3 at age 27 in 2025-26 ranks 181st of 924 age-27 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Ryan Anderson, 2015-16.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Anderson 2015-16 | 27 | +1.2 | +0.9, +0.6, -1.3, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Jason Richardson 2007-08 | 27 | +0.5 | +0.3, +1.3, +0.7, +0.6, +0.2 | 84 |
| Glenn Robinson 2000-01 | 28 | +1.2 | +0.1, -1.0, -1.5, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| Carmelo Anthony 2011-12 | 27 | +2.0 | +2.2, +2.9, +2.2, +2.1, +0.1 | 82 |
| Danilo Gallinari 2015-16 | 27 | +1.2 | +2.9, +0.9, +1.3, +2.0, -0.2 | 82 |
| Chandler Parsons 2015-16 | 27 | +1.0 | -1.0, -1.0, -1.8, under 10 games, under 10 games | 82 |
| Rudy Gay 2013-14 | 27 | +1.5 | +1.1, +0.3, +1.0, +0.5, +0.2 | 81 |
| Pascal Siakam 2020-21 | 27 | +1.7 | +2.8, +2.3, +1.7, +2.3, +1.0 | 81 |
| Corey Maggette 2007-08 | 28 | +1.3 | -0.6, -0.9, -1.4, -2.9, -3.1 | 81 |
| Mike Dunleavy 2007-08 | 27 | +0.9 | +0.4, +0.1, +1.4, +1.2, +0.7 | 81 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Michael's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Historical comps
Echoes today
Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Michael Porter Jr.'s seasons, at the same age.
- Kyle Filipowski UTA like his 2019-20 85
- Kel'el Ware MIA like his 2019-20 83
- Brandon Miller CHA like his 2020-21 82
Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Michael Porter Jr.'s salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $19.2M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $38.3M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$19.2M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 3.7
- Projected
- Retires at
- 31.8
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | BKN | 27 | 52 | 32.5 | +1.29 | +2.19 | -0.90 | 181st of 924 |
| 2024-25 | DEN | 26 | 77 +14 | 33.7 | +1.22 | +1.18 | +0.04 | 193rd of 1010 |
| 2023-24 | DEN | 25 | 81 +12 | 31.7 | +2.12 | +1.53 | +0.60 | 103rd of 1078 |
| 2022-23 | DEN | 24 | 62 +20 | 29.0 | +2.28 | +2.05 | +0.23 | 74th of 1185 |
| 2021-22 | DEN | 23 | 9 | 29.4 | +1.47 | +1.14 | +0.33 | — |
| 2020-21 | DEN | 22 | 61 +10 | 31.3 | +1.89 | +2.19 | -0.30 | 45th of 813 |
| 2019-20 | DEN | 22 | 55 +19 | 16.4 | +0.31 | +0.76 | -0.45 | 174th of 813 |
| 2018-19 | DEN | 20 | 0 | — | -1.34 | -1.00 | -0.35 | — |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 31.2 projected minutes and a pace of 94.0.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 31.7 | 19.4 |
| Rebounds | 10.5 | 6.4 |
| Offensive | 2.2 | 1.3 |
| Defensive | 8.3 | 5.1 |
| Assists | 4.6 | 2.8 |
| Steals | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| Blocks | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Turnovers | 3.0 | 1.8 |
| 3-pt attempts | 13.6 | 8.3 |
| FG attempts | 25.2 | 15.4 |
| FT attempts | 6.5 | 4.0 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 44.1% · 35.0% · 81.5% | |
