Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +1.94
- +0.21 before the first game, +2.15 now
- Biggest boost
- +0.37
- Nov 16 vs SAC · 35 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.30
- Feb 25 vs TOR · 31 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.08
- Last 20 games, vs 0.11 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+2.2 at age 28 in 2025-26 ranks 101st of 858 age-28 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Joe Johnson, 2009-10.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson 2009-10 | 28 | +2.2 | +1.8, +1.9, +2.0, +1.8, +0.8 | 84 |
| George Hill 2014-15 | 28 | +3.2 | +1.9, +2.4, +1.3, +1.4, +1.6 | 83 |
| Goran Dragic 2013-14 | 27 | +2.8 | +0.5, +1.1, +1.5, +1.1, +0.6 | 83 |
| Kyle Lowry 2013-14 | 28 | +3.1 | +2.4, +5.3, +5.5, +4.2, +4.3 | 83 |
| Raymond Felton 2011-12 | 27 | +1.4 | +1.3, +1.1, -0.8, -0.9, -2.5 | 83 |
| Hedo Turkoglu 2007-08 | 29 | +2.6 | +2.7, -0.5, +0.9, +0.7, -0.4 | 83 |
| Andre Miller 2003-04 | 28 | +1.9 | +2.3, +2.3, +0.9, +0.8, +1.5 | 83 |
| David Wesley 1998-99 | 28 | +1.6 | +0.1, +0.2, -1.1, -0.5, -1.4 | 82 |
| Patty Mills 2015-16 | 27 | +1.6 | +1.3, +0.2, +0.7, +1.2, -0.3 | 82 |
| Caron Butler 2007-08 | 28 | +1.7 | 0.0, +0.3, +0.9, +0.2, -0.4 | 82 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to De'Aaron's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Historical comps
Echoes today
Current players whose ten closest comps include one of De'Aaron Fox's seasons, at the same age.
- Nolan Traore BKN like his 2017-18 90
- Ben Saraf BKN like his 2017-18 84
Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against De'Aaron Fox's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $40.0M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $37.1M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$2.9M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 7.0
- Projected
- Retires at
- 35.4
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | SAS | 28 | 73 +17 | 31.0 | +2.22 | +2.05 | +0.17 | 101st of 858 |
| 2024-25 | SAS | 27 | 62 | 36.1 | +0.13 | +1.25 | -1.12 | 343rd of 924 |
| 2023-24 | SAC | 26 | 74 | 35.9 | +3.27 | +3.33 | -0.06 | 48th of 1010 |
| 2022-23 | SAC | 25 | 73 +7 | 33.4 | +2.41 | +3.71 | -1.31 | 79th of 1078 |
| 2021-22 | SAC | 24 | 59 | 35.3 | -0.56 | +1.05 | -1.62 | 491st of 1185 |
| 2020-21 | SAC | 23 | 58 | 35.1 | +0.75 | +2.23 | -1.48 | 182nd of 1100 |
| 2019-20 | SAC | 22 | 51 | 32.0 | +0.72 | +1.47 | -0.75 | 118th of 813 |
| 2018-19 | SAC | 21 | 81 | 31.4 | +0.35 | +0.38 | -0.03 | 82nd of 571 |
| 2017-18 | SAC | 20 | 73 | 27.7 | -2.51 | -1.55 | -0.96 | 284th of 354 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 33.1 projected minutes and a pace of 95.1.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 24.2 | 15.9 |
| Rebounds | 5.6 | 3.7 |
| Offensive | 0.9 | 0.6 |
| Defensive | 4.7 | 3.1 |
| Assists | 8.3 | 5.5 |
| Steals | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| Blocks | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Turnovers | 3.5 | 2.3 |
| 3-pt attempts | 7.7 | 5.0 |
| FG attempts | 20.0 | 13.2 |
| FT attempts | 5.1 | 3.3 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 45.1% · 32.8% · 74.2% | |
