Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -2.54
- +0.47 before the first game, -2.06 now
- Biggest boost
- +0.47
- Dec 8 vs NOP · 15 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.46
- Nov 7 vs HOU · 6 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.09
- Last 20 games, vs 0.14 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-2.1 at age 35 in 2025-26 ranks 179th of 243 age-35 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Hedo Turkoglu, 2013-14.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hedo Turkoglu 2013-14 | 35 | -2.7 | -3.3, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Boris Diaw 2016-17 | 35 | -2.0 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 82 |
| Al Horford 2020-21 | 34 | -1.6 | +1.6, +0.5, +0.9, +0.3, -1.0 | 80 |
| Donyell Marshall 2007-08 | 34 | -1.8 | -1.8, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 80 |
| Aron Baynes 2020-21 | 34 | -2.8 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 79 |
| Tom Gugliotta 2004-05 | 35 | -2.3 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 79 |
| Danny Manning 2001-02 | 35 | -1.9 | -2.4, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 79 |
| George Lynch 2004-05 | 34 | -1.7 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 79 |
| Tayshaun Prince 2014-15 | 35 | -2.3 | -2.3, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 79 |
| Zaza Pachulia 2018-19 | 35 | -1.8 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 78 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Kelly's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Historical comps
Echoes today
Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Kelly Olynyk's seasons, at the same age.
- Sandro Mamukelashvili TOR like his 2017-18 89
- Jaden McDaniels MIN like his 2016-17 86
- Tari Eason HOU like his 2015-16 85
- Naz Reid MIN like his 2016-17 84
- Kristaps Porzingis GSW like his 2020-21 82
- Jaren Jackson Jr. UTA like his 2017-18 78
- Myles Turner MIL like his 2019-20 78
Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Kelly Olynyk's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- -$0.2M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $13.4M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$13.6M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 1.1
- Projected
- Retires at
- 36.2
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | SAS | 35 | 41 +9 | 8.8 | -2.10 | -2.84 | +0.74 | 179th of 243 |
| 2024-25 | NOP | 33 | 44 | 20.2 | +0.36 | -0.82 | +1.18 | 110th of 406 |
| 2023-24 | TOR | 32 | 78 | 22.5 | -1.04 | -1.22 | +0.18 | 310th of 530 |
| 2022-23 | UTA | 31 | 68 | 28.6 | +0.57 | -0.02 | +0.59 | 194th of 616 |
| 2021-22 | DET | 30 | 40 | 19.1 | +0.57 | +0.16 | +0.41 | 216th of 697 |
| 2020-21 | HOU | 30 | 70 | 28.5 | +0.98 | +0.51 | +0.47 | 173rd of 697 |
| 2019-20 | MIA | 29 | 67 +17 | 19.4 | +0.51 | +0.18 | +0.33 | 251st of 774 |
| 2018-19 | MIA | 27 | 79 | 22.9 | +1.08 | +0.19 | +0.89 | 204th of 924 |
| 2017-18 | MIA | 27 | 76 +5 | 23.4 | +1.91 | +1.17 | +0.74 | 121st of 924 |
| 2016-17 | BOS | 26 | 75 +18 | 20.5 | +0.29 | -0.21 | +0.51 | 333rd of 1010 |
| 2015-16 | BOS | 25 | 69 +4 | 20.2 | +0.89 | +0.40 | +0.49 | 210th of 1078 |
| 2014-15 | BOS | 24 | 64 +4 | 22.2 | +1.65 | +0.58 | +1.07 | 115th of 1185 |
| 2013-14 | BOS | 22 | 70 | 20.0 | -1.05 | -0.10 | -0.95 | 411th of 813 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 0.3 projected minutes and a pace of 93.7.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 19.2 | 0.1 |
| Rebounds | 10.7 | 0.1 |
| Offensive | 3.0 | 0.0 |
| Defensive | 7.7 | 0.0 |
| Assists | 5.3 | 0.0 |
| Steals | 1.8 | 0.0 |
| Blocks | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Turnovers | 3.7 | 0.0 |
| 3-pt attempts | 8.3 | 0.0 |
| FG attempts | 16.3 | 0.1 |
| FT attempts | 6.6 | 0.0 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 41.3% · 31.5% · 71.7% | |
