Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -0.71
- -1.57 before the first game, -2.28 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.33
- Feb 7 vs SAC · 17 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.29
- Feb 9 vs DEN · 25 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.08
- Last 20 games, vs 0.09 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-2.3 at age 32 in 2025-26 ranks 456th of 530 age-32 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Ramon Sessions, 2017-18.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ramon Sessions 2017-18 | 32 | -2.5 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 90 |
| Tyronn Lue 2008-09 | 32 | -2.1 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Beno Udrih 2014-15 | 32 | -1.7 | -2.5, -1.4, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Jannero Pargo 2011-12 | 32 | -2.3 | -2.5, -2.1, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Jeff Teague 2020-21 | 33 | -1.5 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Nick Van Exel 2004-05 | 33 | -1.7 | -2.6, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Luke Ridnour 2013-14 | 33 | -2.9 | -3.8, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Lindsey Hunter 2002-03 | 32 | -2.6 | -2.7, -1.7, -2.2, -3.0, -3.9 | 86 |
| Leandro Barbosa 2014-15 | 32 | -2.0 | -1.6, -1.4, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Jarrett Jack 2015-16 | 32 | -2.1 | under 10 games, -1.9, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Dennis's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Historical comps
Echoes today
Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Dennis Schroder's seasons, at the same age.
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. MIA like his 2018-19 87
- Rob Dillingham CHI like his 2013-14 87
- Malik Monk SAC like his 2020-21 86
- Ben Saraf BKN like his 2013-14 85
- Collin Sexton CHI like his 2019-20 85
- Drake Powell BKN like his 2013-14 85
- Keyonte George UTA like his 2014-15 84
- Tre Jones CHI like his 2018-19 84
Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Dennis Schroder's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- -$1.8M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $14.1M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$15.9M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.1
- Projected
- Retires at
- 33.0
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | CLE | 32 | 70 +17 | 24.2 | -2.28 | -0.98 | -1.30 | 456th of 530 |
| 2024-25 | DET | 31 | 75 +6 | 28.1 | -1.69 | -0.55 | -1.14 | 473rd of 616 |
| 2023-24 | BKN | 30 | 80 | 31.1 | -1.53 | -0.52 | -1.01 | 523rd of 697 |
| 2022-23 | LAL | 29 | 66 +16 | 30.1 | +0.28 | +0.26 | +0.02 | 292nd of 774 |
| 2021-22 | HOU | 28 | 64 | 28.7 | -2.22 | -1.02 | -1.20 | 774th of 858 |
| 2020-21 | LAL | 27 | 61 +6 | 32.1 | -0.98 | -0.27 | -0.71 | 590th of 924 |
| 2019-20 | OKC | 26 | 65 +7 | 30.7 | +0.47 | +1.11 | -0.64 | 301st of 1010 |
| 2018-19 | OKC | 25 | 79 +5 | 29.3 | -0.81 | +0.18 | -0.99 | 569th of 1078 |
| 2017-18 | ATL | 24 | 67 | 31.0 | -0.53 | +0.72 | -1.25 | 479th of 1185 |
| 2016-17 | ATL | 23 | 79 +6 | 31.4 | -0.52 | +0.60 | -1.11 | 407th of 1100 |
| 2015-16 | ATL | 22 | 80 +10 | 20.3 | +0.78 | +0.99 | -0.22 | 112th of 813 |
| 2014-15 | ATL | 21 | 77 +16 | 19.7 | -1.30 | +0.15 | -1.45 | 296th of 571 |
| 2013-14 | ATL | 20 | 49 +2 | 13.1 | -2.91 | -1.87 | -1.04 | 318th of 354 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 21.2 projected minutes and a pace of 94.4.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 20.7 | 8.6 |
| Rebounds | 5.7 | 2.4 |
| Offensive | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| Defensive | 4.5 | 1.9 |
| Assists | 8.9 | 3.7 |
| Steals | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| Blocks | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Turnovers | 3.6 | 1.5 |
| 3-pt attempts | 6.3 | 2.6 |
| FG attempts | 18.1 | 7.5 |
| FT attempts | 5.7 | 2.4 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 39.9% · 32.3% · 79.5% | |
