Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -0.70
- -1.00 before the first game, -1.70 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.09
- Oct 24 vs PHX · 20 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.35
- Nov 6 vs PHX · 20 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.09
- Average size of a game's change this season. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Lee 2017-18 | 32 | -1.9 | -1.6, -1.5, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 90 |
| Leandro Barbosa 2014-15 | 32 | -2.0 | -1.6, -1.4, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Wesley Person 2003-04 | 33 | -1.7 | -1.9, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Tony Delk 2005-06 | 32 | -1.5 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Aaron Brooks 2016-17 | 32 | -1.7 | -4.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Beno Udrih 2014-15 | 32 | -1.7 | -2.5, -1.4, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Jeff Teague 2020-21 | 33 | -1.5 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Eddie House 2010-11 | 33 | -1.7 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Kevin Martin 2015-16 | 33 | -1.9 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Luke Ridnour 2012-13 | 32 | -1.4 | -2.9, -3.8, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Bradley's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Historical comps
Echoes today
Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Bradley Beal's seasons, at the same age.
- Kon Knueppel CHA like his 2013-14 89
- Shaedon Sharpe POR like his 2015-16 88
- Cedric Coward MEM like his 2014-15 87
- Tyrese Maxey PHI like his 2018-19 87
- VJ Edgecombe PHI like his 2013-14 87
- Franz Wagner ORL like his 2017-18 86
- Jalen Williams OKC like his 2017-18 85
- Jeremiah Fears NOP like his 2012-13 85
Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Bradley Beal's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $1.5M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $24.7M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$23.3M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.1
- Projected
- Retires at
- 33.2
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | LAC | 32 | 6 | 20.2 | -1.70 | -0.58 | -1.12 | — |
| 2024-25 | PHX | 31 | 53 | 32.1 | -1.10 | +0.31 | -1.41 | 389th of 616 |
| 2023-24 | PHX | 30 | 53 +4 | 33.3 | +0.47 | +1.03 | -0.56 | 231st of 697 |
| 2022-23 | WAS | 29 | 50 | 33.5 | +1.85 | +2.77 | -0.93 | 120th of 774 |
| 2021-22 | WAS | 28 | 40 | 36.0 | +1.32 | +2.47 | -1.16 | 172nd of 858 |
| 2020-21 | WAS | 27 | 60 +5 | 35.8 | +2.35 | +4.05 | -1.70 | 98th of 924 |
| 2019-20 | WAS | 26 | 57 | 36.0 | +2.43 | +4.16 | -1.73 | 85th of 1010 |
| 2018-19 | WAS | 25 | 82 | 36.9 | +2.77 | +3.61 | -0.83 | 61st of 1078 |
| 2017-18 | WAS | 24 | 82 +6 | 36.3 | +2.21 | +2.78 | -0.57 | 81st of 1185 |
| 2016-17 | WAS | 23 | 77 +13 | 34.9 | +2.37 | +3.53 | -1.16 | 42nd of 1100 |
| 2015-16 | WAS | 22 | 55 | 31.1 | -0.06 | +1.09 | -1.15 | 223rd of 813 |
| 2014-15 | WAS | 21 | 63 +10 | 33.4 | +0.22 | +0.78 | -0.56 | 96th of 571 |
| 2013-14 | WAS | 20 | 73 +11 | 34.7 | +0.06 | +0.58 | -0.51 | 56th of 354 |
| 2012-13 | WAS | 19 | 56 | 31.1 | -0.41 | +0.13 | -0.54 | 20th of 109 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 22.1 projected minutes and a pace of 94.2.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 23.0 | 10.0 |
| Rebounds | 5.3 | 2.3 |
| Offensive | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| Defensive | 4.1 | 1.8 |
| Assists | 5.0 | 2.1 |
| Steals | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| Blocks | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| Turnovers | 3.0 | 1.3 |
| 3-pt attempts | 8.4 | 3.6 |
| FG attempts | 18.5 | 8.0 |
| FT attempts | 3.7 | 1.6 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 44.3% · 35.1% · 80.4% | |
