Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -1.01
- -1.41 before the first game, -2.43 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.18
- Dec 14 vs MIL · 21 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.26
- Mar 14 vs PHI · 18 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.07
- Last 20 games, vs 0.08 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-2.4 at age 29 in 2025-26 ranks 704th of 774 age-29 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Anthony Johnson, 2003-04.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Johnson 2003-04 | 29 | -2.3 | -1.3, -0.3, -3.0, -3.0, -2.4 | 90 |
| Fred Jones 2007-08 | 29 | -2.2 | -0.7, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 90 |
| Quincy Pondexter 2017-18 | 29 | -2.6 | -1.1, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| Jonathon Simmons 2018-19 | 29 | -2.9 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Jerryd Bayless 2017-18 | 29 | -2.8 | -4.1, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Ricky Davis 2008-09 | 29 | -2.7 | -3.3, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Royal Ivey 2010-11 | 29 | -2.2 | -2.2, -1.4, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Gerald Henderson 2016-17 | 29 | -2.8 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Rodney McGruder 2019-20 | 29 | -2.1 | -1.5, -0.9, -1.2, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Evan Turner 2017-18 | 29 | -2.8 | -2.0, -2.4, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Terance's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Historical comps
Echoes today
Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Terance Mann's seasons, at the same age.
- Tristan da Silva ORL like his 2020-21 90
- Kam Jones IND like his 2019-20 88
- Keshad Johnson MIA like his 2020-21 86
Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Terance Mann's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- -$3.1M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $15.5M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$18.6M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.0
- Projected
- Retires at
- 29.8
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | BKN | 29 | 63 | 24.3 | -2.43 | -1.80 | -0.63 | 704th of 774 |
| 2024-25 | ATL | 28 | 67 | 21.1 | -1.48 | +0.10 | -1.58 | 655th of 858 |
| 2023-24 | LAC | 27 | 75 +6 | 25.0 | -0.45 | +0.01 | -0.45 | 465th of 924 |
| 2022-23 | LAC | 26 | 81 +5 | 23.1 | +0.32 | +0.61 | -0.29 | 331st of 1010 |
| 2021-22 | LAC | 25 | 81 | 28.6 | -0.02 | -0.21 | +0.18 | 366th of 1078 |
| 2020-21 | LAC | 24 | 67 +19 | 18.9 | -0.50 | -0.17 | -0.33 | 469th of 1185 |
| 2019-20 | LAC | 23 | 41 +13 | 8.8 | -1.87 | -1.68 | -0.19 | 796th of 1100 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 23.1 projected minutes and a pace of 93.7.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 16.7 | 7.5 |
| Rebounds | 6.8 | 3.0 |
| Offensive | 2.0 | 0.9 |
| Defensive | 4.8 | 2.1 |
| Assists | 5.1 | 2.3 |
| Steals | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| Blocks | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Turnovers | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| 3-pt attempts | 6.2 | 2.8 |
| FG attempts | 14.2 | 6.4 |
| FT attempts | 3.3 | 1.5 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 44.1% · 34.2% · 76.7% | |
