Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -0.28
- -3.01 before the first game, -3.29 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.26
- Feb 3 vs CHI · 31 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.24
- Nov 15 vs LAL · 20 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.07
- Last 20 games, vs 0.08 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-3.3 at age 30 in 2025-26 ranks 682nd of 697 age-30 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Jeff Green, 2016-17.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Green 2016-17 | 30 | -3.7 | -0.7, -1.2, -1.2, -0.9, -1.2 | 86 |
| Gary Neal 2014-15 | 30 | -2.8 | -3.5, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Ricky Davis 2009-10 | 30 | -3.3 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Alan Anderson 2012-13 | 30 | -2.7 | -1.3, -1.0, -1.3, -3.6, under 10 games | 83 |
| Jarrett Jack 2013-14 | 30 | -2.9 | -3.2, -2.1, under 10 games, -1.9, under 10 games | 83 |
| Ramon Sessions 2016-17 | 31 | -2.6 | -2.5, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 82 |
| Brian Roberts 2016-17 | 31 | -2.9 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 82 |
| Troy Hudson 2006-07 | 31 | -2.8 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 82 |
| Hakim Warrick 2012-13 | 30 | -3.0 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 81 |
| Isaiah Rider 2000-01 | 30 | -2.8 | -2.2, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 81 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Kyle's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Historical comps
Echoes today
Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Kyle Kuzma's seasons, at the same age.
- Dalton Knecht LAL like his 2019-20 90
- E.J. Liddell BKN like his 2020-21 89
- Jalen Wilson BKN like his 2020-21 89
- Jared McCain OKC like his 2017-18 86
Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Kyle Kuzma's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- -$10.0M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $22.4M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$32.4M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.1
- Projected
- Retires at
- 31.1
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | MIL | 30 | 69 | 26.2 | -3.29 | -1.58 | -1.71 | 682nd of 697 |
| 2024-25 | MIL | 29 | 65 +5 | 29.8 | -3.13 | -1.77 | -1.35 | 753rd of 774 |
| 2023-24 | WAS | 28 | 70 | 32.6 | -2.00 | -0.28 | -1.72 | 743rd of 858 |
| 2022-23 | WAS | 27 | 64 | 35.0 | -0.77 | +0.36 | -1.12 | 538th of 924 |
| 2021-22 | WAS | 26 | 66 | 33.4 | -2.24 | -0.67 | -1.57 | 906th of 1010 |
| 2020-21 | LAL | 25 | 68 +6 | 28.7 | -1.34 | -1.06 | -0.28 | 723rd of 1078 |
| 2019-20 | LAL | 25 | 61 +21 | 25.0 | -0.61 | -0.18 | -0.43 | 515th of 1078 |
| 2018-19 | LAL | 23 | 70 | 33.0 | -0.68 | +0.19 | -0.87 | 441st of 1100 |
| 2017-18 | LAL | 22 | 77 | 31.2 | -1.67 | -0.29 | -1.38 | 541st of 813 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 27.2 projected minutes and a pace of 94.6.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 24.3 | 13.0 |
| Rebounds | 8.3 | 4.4 |
| Offensive | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| Defensive | 6.8 | 3.6 |
| Assists | 5.0 | 2.7 |
| Steals | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| Blocks | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Turnovers | 3.5 | 1.9 |
| 3-pt attempts | 8.4 | 4.5 |
| FG attempts | 20.0 | 10.7 |
| FT attempts | 5.2 | 2.8 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 43.7% · 31.1% · 65.9% | |
