Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +0.28
- -0.83 before the first game, -0.55 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.33
- Feb 21 vs MEM · 29 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.27
- Jan 19 vs GSW · 27 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.06
- Last 20 games, vs 0.09 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-0.6 at age 31 in 2025-26 ranks 310th of 616 age-31 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: E'Twaun Moore, 2019-20.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E'Twaun Moore 2019-20 | 31 | -0.7 | -2.1, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Tim Thomas 2007-08 | 31 | -0.4 | +0.3, -1.1, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Wally Szczerbiak 2007-08 | 31 | -0.8 | -2.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Anthony Tolliver 2016-17 | 31 | -0.4 | +1.0, -1.0, -1.3, -1.0, under 10 games | 88 |
| Wilson Chandler 2017-18 | 30 | -0.2 | -1.2, -2.3, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| James Ennis III 2020-21 | 30 | +0.1 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Wesley Matthews 2016-17 | 30 | -0.4 | -1.3, -1.1, -0.3, -0.7, -0.6 | 87 |
| Richard Jefferson 2011-12 | 31 | -1.0 | -1.5, -2.1, -1.5, -2.8, -2.5 | 87 |
| Morris Peterson 2008-09 | 31 | -0.1 | -1.5, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Dante Cunningham 2017-18 | 30 | -1.0 | -2.4, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Andrew's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Historical comps
Echoes today
Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Andrew Wiggins's seasons, at the same age.
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. MIA like his 2019-20 89
- Jonathan Kuminga ATL like his 2017-18 87
- Keegan Murray SAC like his 2020-21 86
- GG Jackson MEM like his 2015-16 84
- Jeremiah Fears NOP like his 2014-15 81
Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Andrew Wiggins's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $10.7M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $28.2M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$17.5M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 1.2
- Projected
- Retires at
- 32.6
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | MIA | 31 | 68 | 30.3 | -0.55 | -0.52 | -0.03 | 310th of 616 |
| 2024-25 | MIA | 30 | 60 +4 | 30.7 | -0.70 | -0.36 | -0.34 | 405th of 697 |
| 2023-24 | GSW | 29 | 71 | 27.0 | -0.07 | +0.11 | -0.18 | 351st of 774 |
| 2022-23 | GSW | 28 | 37 +13 | 32.2 | +1.97 | +0.62 | +1.36 | 114th of 858 |
| 2021-22 | GSW | 27 | 73 +22 | 31.9 | +1.45 | +0.53 | +0.92 | 162nd of 924 |
| 2020-21 | GSW | 26 | 71 | 33.3 | -0.01 | -0.15 | +0.15 | 394th of 1010 |
| 2019-20 | GSW | 25 | 54 | 34.4 | -0.52 | +0.58 | -1.10 | 489th of 1078 |
| 2018-19 | MIN | 24 | 73 | 34.8 | -1.21 | +0.22 | -1.43 | 692nd of 1185 |
| 2017-18 | MIN | 23 | 82 +5 | 36.3 | -0.79 | +0.37 | -1.16 | 462nd of 1100 |
| 2016-17 | MIN | 22 | 82 | 37.2 | -0.11 | +1.58 | -1.69 | 231st of 813 |
| 2015-16 | MIN | 21 | 81 | 35.1 | -0.50 | +1.15 | -1.65 | 179th of 571 |
| 2014-15 | MIN | 20 | 82 | 36.2 | -1.44 | +0.07 | -1.51 | 173rd of 354 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 24.9 projected minutes and a pace of 94.8.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 22.0 | 10.8 |
| Rebounds | 7.4 | 3.7 |
| Offensive | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| Defensive | 5.3 | 2.6 |
| Assists | 3.2 | 1.6 |
| Steals | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| Blocks | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| Turnovers | 2.1 | 1.0 |
| 3-pt attempts | 9.1 | 4.5 |
| FG attempts | 17.5 | 8.6 |
| FT attempts | 4.0 | 2.0 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 43.4% · 36.8% · 74.1% | |
