Pat Spencer
Age 30 · 6'3" · 205 lb
Rookie 2024 · 111 games · 8 playoff games
DPM · #443 of 530
-2.1Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -0.34
- -1.74 before the first game, -2.08 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.58
- Feb 5 vs PHX · 32 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.60
- Nov 19 vs MIA · 32 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.16
- Last 20 games, vs 0.23 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-2.1 at age 29 in 2025-26 ranks 665th of 774 age-29 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Malcolm Delaney, 2017-18.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Delaney 2017-18 | 29 | -1.9 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 91 |
| Jannero Pargo 2009-10 | 30 | -2.0 | under 10 games, -2.3, -2.5, -2.1, under 10 games | 88 |
| Dwight Buycks 2017-18 | 29 | -2.0 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Brad Wanamaker 2018-19 | 29 | -1.5 | -1.5, -2.3, -2.5, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Rumeal Robinson 1996-97 | 30 | -1.7 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Rex Walters 1998-99 | 29 | -2.2 | -2.9, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Fred Jones 2007-08 | 29 | -2.2 | -0.7, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Jason Hart 2007-08 | 30 | -2.4 | -3.4, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Emanual Davis 1997-98 | 29 | -1.5 | under 10 games, -2.1, -0.7, -2.0, -2.5 | 86 |
| John Lucas III 2012-13 | 30 | -1.8 | -3.1, -2.7, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Pat's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Pat Spencer's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- -$0.3M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $0.9M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$1.2M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.1
- Projected
- Retires at
- 30.2
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | GSW | 29 | 66 | 18.6 | -2.08 | -1.46 | -0.62 | 665th of 774 |
| 2024-25 | GSW | 28 | 39 +8 | 6.4 | -1.47 | -1.27 | -0.20 | 650th of 858 |
| 2023-24 | GSW | 27 | 6 | 4.3 | -3.15 | -2.19 | -0.96 | — |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 4.6 projected minutes and a pace of 94.4.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 19.1 | 1.7 |
| Rebounds | 6.3 | 0.6 |
| Offensive | 1.8 | 0.2 |
| Defensive | 4.5 | 0.4 |
| Assists | 6.8 | 0.6 |
| Steals | 1.9 | 0.2 |
| Blocks | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| Turnovers | 3.0 | 0.3 |
| 3-pt attempts | 8.1 | 0.7 |
| FG attempts | 17.3 | 1.6 |
| FT attempts | 2.7 | 0.2 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 40.0% · 30.6% · 75.3% | |