Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -0.30
- -0.62 before the first game, -0.92 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.23
- Jan 20 vs TOR · 19 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.22
- Mar 21 vs GSW · 4 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.08
- Last 20 games, vs 0.06 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-0.9 at age 33 in 2025-26 ranks 213th of 406 age-33 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Voshon Lenard, 2005-06.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Voshon Lenard 2005-06 | 32 | -0.9 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 93 |
| Wayne Ellington 2020-21 | 33 | -0.8 | -0.5, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 90 |
| Trevor Ariza 2018-19 | 33 | -0.6 | -0.6, +0.2, -1.5, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Derek Anderson 2007-08 | 33 | -1.2 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Jeff Green 2019-20 | 34 | -1.2 | -0.9, -1.2, -4.2, -3.6, -4.1 | 86 |
| Caron Butler 2012-13 | 33 | -0.4 | -2.0, -1.9, -2.7, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Morris Peterson 2009-10 | 32 | -1.5 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Walt Williams 2002-03 | 33 | -0.7 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| David Wesley 2003-04 | 33 | -1.4 | -1.0, -1.8, -2.8, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Steve Blake 2012-13 | 33 | -1.3 | -2.6, -2.1, -2.4, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Buddy's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Historical comps
Echoes today
Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Buddy Hield's seasons, at the same age.
- Nah'Shon Hyland MIN like his 2017-18 86
- Obi Toppin IND like his 2020-21 86
- Coby White CHA like his 2018-19 85
- Collin Sexton CHI like his 2019-20 84
- Tyler Herro MIA like his 2018-19 83
Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Buddy Hield's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $1.2M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $9.2M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$8.0M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.1
- Projected
- Retires at
- 33.7
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | ATL | 33 | 51 +2 | 16.1 | -0.92 | -0.54 | -0.39 | 213th of 406 |
| 2024-25 | GSW | 32 | 82 +12 | 22.7 | -0.51 | +0.04 | -0.55 | 242nd of 530 |
| 2023-24 | PHI | 31 | 85 +4 | 25.8 | -0.40 | +0.09 | -0.50 | 290th of 616 |
| 2022-23 | IND | 30 | 80 | 31.0 | +0.28 | +1.02 | -0.75 | 264th of 697 |
| 2021-22 | IND | 29 | 81 | 30.8 | -0.46 | +0.77 | -1.23 | 408th of 774 |
| 2020-21 | SAC | 28 | 71 | 34.3 | -0.01 | +0.96 | -0.96 | 369th of 858 |
| 2019-20 | SAC | 27 | 72 | 30.8 | +0.23 | +1.10 | -0.87 | 333rd of 924 |
| 2018-19 | SAC | 26 | 82 | 31.9 | +0.38 | +1.21 | -0.83 | 318th of 1010 |
| 2017-18 | SAC | 25 | 80 | 25.3 | +0.27 | +0.35 | -0.08 | 312th of 1078 |
| 2016-17 | SAC | 24 | 82 | 23.0 | -0.54 | +0.57 | -1.11 | 482nd of 1185 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 2.5 projected minutes and a pace of 96.0.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 22.6 | 1.1 |
| Rebounds | 6.9 | 0.3 |
| Offensive | 1.4 | 0.1 |
| Defensive | 5.5 | 0.3 |
| Assists | 3.3 | 0.2 |
| Steals | 1.9 | 0.1 |
| Blocks | 0.7 | 0.0 |
| Turnovers | 2.3 | 0.1 |
| 3-pt attempts | 12.3 | 0.6 |
| FG attempts | 17.2 | 0.9 |
| FT attempts | 2.4 | 0.1 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 40.3% · 35.9% · 80.0% | |
