Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +2.07
- -2.46 before the first game, -0.39 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.98
- Oct 25 vs IND · 21 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.71
- Jan 6 vs SAS · 16 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.21
- Last 20 games, vs 0.26 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-0.4 at age 23 in 2025-26 ranks 385th of 1,100 age-23 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Beno Udrih, 2004-05.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beno Udrih 2004-05 | 22 | -0.5 | -1.3, -2.6, -1.2, -0.9, -0.2 | 92 |
| Sundiata Gaines 2009-10 | 24 | -0.6 | 0.0, -0.2, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 92 |
| AJ Price 2009-10 | 23 | -0.6 | -1.2, -1.8, -2.2, -2.3, -2.8 | 91 |
| Cory Alexander 1996-97 | 23 | -0.4 | +0.2, -0.2, -1.0, -2.2, under 10 games | 89 |
| Skylar Mays 2020-21 | 23 | -0.4 | -1.2, under 10 games, -2.5, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| Jameer Nelson 2004-05 | 23 | -0.1 | +1.8, +0.2, +1.6, +3.2, +3.4 | 88 |
| Rodrigue Beaubois 2010-11 | 23 | -0.8 | +0.3, -0.4, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Raul Neto 2015-16 | 23 | -1.0 | +0.2, -0.6, -0.5, -0.4, -0.7 | 88 |
| Kirk Hinrich 2003-04 | 23 | 0.0 | +0.4, +1.0, +1.7, +0.6, +1.8 | 88 |
| Shelvin Mack 2012-13 | 23 | -1.0 | -0.1, -0.4, +0.1, -1.4, -0.6 | 87 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Javon's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Javon Small's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $12.0M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $1.4M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$10.7M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 6.3
- Projected
- Retires at
- 29.6
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | MEM | 23 | 41 | 20.2 | -0.39 | -0.09 | -0.30 | 385th of 1100 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 20.1 projected minutes and a pace of 96.3.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 22.4 | 9.0 |
| Rebounds | 6.7 | 2.7 |
| Offensive | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| Defensive | 4.7 | 1.9 |
| Assists | 7.9 | 3.2 |
| Steals | 2.1 | 0.8 |
| Blocks | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Turnovers | 3.1 | 1.2 |
| 3-pt attempts | 8.2 | 3.3 |
| FG attempts | 17.1 | 6.9 |
| FT attempts | 4.4 | 1.8 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 42.9% · 35.0% · 79.5% | |
