Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +1.86
- -2.12 before the first game, -0.27 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.82
- Oct 24 vs MIA · 22 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.55
- Jan 2 vs LAL · 24 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.21
- Last 20 games, vs 0.29 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-0.3 at age 22 in 2025-26 ranks 253rd of 813 age-22 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Klay Thompson, 2011-12.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Klay Thompson 2011-12 | 22 | -0.5 | +0.1, +1.9, +3.5, +3.3, +2.6 | 90 |
| Chase Budinger 2009-10 | 21 | -0.5 | +0.1, +0.5, -0.1, -0.5, -0.8 | 89 |
| Rodrigue Beaubois 2009-10 | 22 | +0.1 | -0.8, +0.3, -0.4, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Dion Waiters 2013-14 | 22 | +0.1 | -1.1, -0.7, +0.4, -1.2, -1.3 | 87 |
| Keith Van Horn 1997-98 | 22 | -0.1 | 0.0, -0.9, -1.2, +0.6, +0.2 | 87 |
| Brandon Roy 2006-07 | 22 | +0.2 | +1.2, +3.4, +2.1, +0.6, under 10 games | 87 |
| Mickael Pietrus 2003-04 | 22 | -0.3 | +1.1, -1.7, -0.5, +0.5, +0.6 | 87 |
| Bradley Beal 2014-15 | 21 | +0.2 | -0.1, +2.4, +2.2, +2.8, +2.4 | 87 |
| Caris LeVert 2016-17 | 22 | -0.1 | -1.0, +0.2, +1.0, -0.5, -1.5 | 87 |
| Jason Richardson 2003-04 | 23 | +0.1 | +0.9, +1.7, +1.2, +0.5, +0.3 | 86 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Cedric's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Cedric Coward's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $10.0M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $5.7M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$4.3M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 9.2
- Projected
- Retires at
- 31.8
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | MEM | 22 | 62 | 25.8 | -0.27 | +0.68 | -0.95 | 253rd of 813 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 23.9 projected minutes and a pace of 96.4.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 27.8 | 13.3 |
| Rebounds | 9.5 | 4.5 |
| Offensive | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| Defensive | 7.2 | 3.4 |
| Assists | 5.0 | 2.4 |
| Steals | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| Blocks | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| Turnovers | 3.3 | 1.6 |
| 3-pt attempts | 8.6 | 4.1 |
| FG attempts | 23.1 | 11.1 |
| FT attempts | 5.3 | 2.6 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 43.7% · 33.5% · 82.4% | |
